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Week 7 College Football Picks
| Game | Moneyline Pick | ATS Pick | Total Pick | Best Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaware at Middle Tennessee | Middle Tennessee | Middle Tennessee +1.5 | Under 47.5 | No |
| FIU at Jacksonville State | Jacksonville State | FIU +3 | Under 43.5 | No |
| Kennesaw State at Missouri State | Kennesaw State | Kennesaw State -3 | Under 52.5 | No |
| Western Kentucky at Sam Houston | Sam Houston | Sam Houston +1.5 | Over 52.5 | No |
| Georgia Southern at Old Dominion | Old Dominion | Old Dominion +3.5 | Under 47.5 | No |
| East Carolina at UAB | East Carolina | East Carolina -4.5 | Under 47.5 | No |
| Colorado State at Texas State | Texas State | Colorado State +14.5 | Under 70.5 | No |
| Memphis at Tulane | Memphis | Memphis -7 | Under 55.5 | No |
| Washington at Purdue | Purdue | Purdue -3.5 | Over 52.5 | No |
| Appalachian State at Coastal Carolina | Coastal Carolina | Coastal Carolina +1.5 | Over 49.5 | No |
| Georgia State at James Madison | James Madison | Georgia State +12.5 | Under 58.5 | No |
| Ball State at Bowling Green | Bowling Green | Bowling Green -6.5 | Under 47.5 | No |
| Charleston Southern at Clemson | Clemson | Clemson -42.5 | Over 57.5 | No |
| Cincinnati at West Virginia | Cincinnati | Cincinnati +1.5 | Under 63.5 | No |
| Florida Atlantic at Army | Army | Army -2.5 | Under 55.5 | No |
| Florida at Texas | Texas | Texas -10.5 | Under 52.5 | No |
| Mississippi State at LSU | LSU | Mississippi State +14 | Over 58.5 | ✅ Yes |
| Kansas at Kansas State | Kansas State | Kansas +4.5 | Over 55.5 | No |
| Northwestern at Michigan State | Northwestern | Michigan State +7.5 | Over 48.5 | No |
| Ohio State at Indiana | Ohio State | Ohio State -3.5 | Under 50.5 | No |
| Pittsburgh at Boston College | Pittsburgh | Boston College +6.5 | Under 42.5 | No |
| Virginia at SMU | SMU | Virginia +9.5 | Over 51.5 | No |
| Rutgers at Maryland | Maryland | Maryland -4.5 | Under 57.5 | No |
| UMass at Buffalo | Buffalo | Buffalo -6.5 | Under 41.5 | No |
| The Citadel at Texas A&M | Texas A&M | The Citadel +45.5 | Under 56.5 | No |
| Charlotte at Temple | Temple | Temple -21 | Under 47.5 | No |
| Western Michigan at Central Michigan | Western Michigan | Western Michigan -6.5 | Under 43.5 | No |
| Toledo at Eastern Michigan | Toledo | Toledo -6.5 | Under 53.5 | No |
| UNLV at Air Force | Air Force | Air Force +1.5 | Under 48.5 | No |
| North Carolina at Duke | Duke | North Carolina +3.5 | Under 47.5 | No |
| Penn State at Michigan | Michigan | Michigan -6.5 | Under 42.5 | No |
| Northern Illinois at Wyoming | Wyoming | Wyoming -7.5 | Under 40.5 | No |
| Missouri at Ole Miss | Ole Miss | Missouri +6.5 | Over 58.5 | No |
| Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech | Georgia Tech | Georgia Tech +10 | Under 57.5 | No |
| Alabama at Tennessee | Alabama | Tennessee +8.5 | Under 51.5 | No |
| Auburn at Georgia | Georgia | Auburn +20.5 | Under 49.5 | No |
| Arizona State at Texas Tech | Texas Tech | Texas Tech -14.5 | Under 48.5 | No |
| Akron at Miami (OH) | Miami (OH) | Akron +10 | Under 46.5 | No |
| Tulsa at Rice | Tulsa | Tulsa -4 | Under 46.5 | No |
| Troy at Louisiana | Troy | Troy +4.5 | Over 49.5 | No |
| Washington State at Oregon State | Oregon State | Washington State +17.5 | Over 52.5 | No |
| Arkansas State at Southern Miss | Arkansas State | Arkansas State -7 | Over 62.5 | No |
| Arkansas at Vanderbilt | Arkansas | Arkansas +6.5 | Under 50.5 | No |
| Florida State at Miami | Miami | Miami -21 | Under 55.5 | No |
| Kent State at South Florida | South Florida | South Florida -20.5 | Over 45.5 | No |
| Nevada at North Dakota State | North Dakota State | Nevada +15.5 | Under 42.5 | No |
| TCU at Baylor | Baylor | Baylor -6 | Under 48.5 | No |
| Wisconsin at UCLA | UCLA | UCLA -2.5 | Under 43.5 | No |
| Kentucky at Oklahoma | Oklahoma | Kentucky +7 | Under 43.5 | No |
| Oklahoma State at Houston | Houston | Houston -4.5 | Over 62.5 | No |
| Notre Dame at BYU | Notre Dame | BYU +10.5 | Under 46.5 | No |
| Louisville at Syracuse | Louisville | Louisville -14.5 | Over 55.5 | No |
| Elon at Stanford | Stanford | Elon +35.5 | Under 55.5 | No |
| Navy at UTSA | UTSA | Navy +7 | Over 55.5 | No |
| Louisiana Tech at UL Monroe | Louisiana Tech | Louisiana Tech -15 | Under 57.5 | No |
| San Jose State at UTEP | San Jose State | San Jose State -7.5 | Under 46.5 | No |
| Ohio at Sacramento State | Ohio | Ohio -15 | Under 48.5 | No |
| Utah at Colorado | Utah | Utah -15.5 | Over 49.5 | No |
| New Mexico at Hawaii | New Mexico | New Mexico -14.5 | Under 45.5 | No |
| Fresno State at San Diego State | Fresno State | Fresno State -7.5 | Over 46.5 | No |
| Wake Forest at California | Wake Forest | Wake Forest -9.5 | Under 52.5 | No |
| Nebraska at Oregon | Oregon | Nebraska +7.5 | Under 52.5 | No |
Delaware at Middle Tennessee Pick
Delaware has been less dependable since losing quarterback Nick Minicucci, and its running game has not consistently compensated for the change. Middle Tennessee has also been uneven, but playing at home gives the Blue Raiders a better chance to control field position and avoid obvious passing situations.
The market has moved toward Delaware, yet Middle Tennessee is the preferred upset side because of the quarterback uncertainty. Neither offense has earned enough trust to expect sustained red-zone success, which keeps the under attractive.
Picks: Middle Tennessee ML, Middle Tennessee +1.5, and Under 47.5
FIU at Jacksonville State Pick
FIU has allowed only 12.2 points per game and has gone 11 consecutive quarters without surrendering a touchdown. Jacksonville State counters with a stronger rushing identity and the confidence gained from three straight victories.
The Gamecocks should find enough offense at home to win, but FIU’s defense makes laying a full field goal uncomfortable. A game likely to be decided through field position and turnovers belongs below a total of 43.5.
Picks: Jacksonville State ML, FIU +3, and Under 43.5
Kennesaw State at Missouri State Pick
Kennesaw State came within one point of Jacksonville State and continues to defend better than its record suggests. Missouri State has struggled to handle physical conference opponents and allowed Western Kentucky to pull away last Thursday.
Kennesaw State’s defensive floor provides the more reliable path in a matchup between two limited offenses. The Owls should cover a short road number, while extended possessions and inconsistent finishing favor the under.
Picks: Kennesaw State ML, Kennesaw State -3, and Under 52.5
Western Kentucky at Sam Houston Pick
Western Kentucky rebounded with a 34-13 win over Missouri State, but its defense remains vulnerable against balanced attacks. Sam Houston was overwhelmed by Liberty, although returning home for the first time in nearly a month should produce a sharper performance.
The small home underdog has the more appealing situational setup. Western Kentucky will still create passing yards, giving the game enough two-way scoring potential to clear a total in the low 50s.
Picks: Sam Houston ML, Sam Houston +1.5, and Over 52.5
Georgia Southern at Old Dominion Pick
Old Dominion responded to its blowout loss against Georgia State by holding Appalachian State to three points in a 10-3 road victory. Georgia Southern was competitive against James Madison but could not finish the upset in a 27-24 loss.
Old Dominion’s defense and home field make the points attractive in what should be another close Sun Belt game. Both teams are more convincing defensively than offensively right now, so the under is the preferred total.
Picks: Old Dominion ML, Old Dominion +3.5, and Under 47.5
East Carolina at UAB Pick
East Carolina controlled Rice 28-12 and has shown a more dependable ability to create points without relying on short fields. UAB was beaten 38-13 by Memphis and now faces another opponent capable of pressuring its protection.
The Pirates should control the line of scrimmage and win by at least a touchdown. UAB’s recent offensive problems also make the under more attractive than asking the home team to contribute heavily.
Picks: East Carolina ML, East Carolina -4.5, and Under 47.5
Colorado State at Texas State Pick
Texas State is clearly the more explosive offense, and the market has responded by moving the Bobcats into a two-touchdown favorite. Colorado State can still shorten the game if it avoids turnovers and sustains drives with its rushing attack.
Texas State should win, but the inflated spread creates more value with Colorado State. A total above 70 requires nearly flawless red-zone execution from both sides, making the under the more disciplined position.
Picks: Texas State ML, Colorado State +14.5, and Under 70.5
Memphis at Tulane Pick
Memphis has produced consecutive convincing performances and just held UAB to 13 points. Tulane remains difficult to play in New Orleans, but its 20-17 loss to Army exposed problems creating explosive offense against a disciplined defense.
The Tigers have the stronger overall profile and should cover if they protect the football. Tulane’s best chance is to slow the pace, which also points toward the under.
Picks: Memphis ML, Memphis -7, and Under 55.5
Washington at Purdue Pick
Washington allowed Iowa to score 41 points at home and has now struggled in consecutive conference games. Purdue enters with momentum after crushing Minnesota 41-13 and gets another opportunity to attack a vulnerable defense in West Lafayette.
The Boilermakers are the more trustworthy team at the current number. Washington still has enough passing ability to contribute, giving the over a reasonable route if Purdue continues its recent offensive form.
Picks: Purdue ML, Purdue -3.5, and Over 52.5
Appalachian State at Coastal Carolina Pick
Appalachian State scored only three points in last week’s home loss to Old Dominion. Coastal Carolina won 27-21 at Marshall and has now shown it can handle a close fourth quarter against conference competition.
Getting points with the team in better form is the preferred position. Appalachian State should improve offensively, but Coastal Carolina has enough balance to win and help the game move above a total below 50.
Picks: Coastal Carolina ML, Coastal Carolina +1.5, and Over 49.5
Georgia State at James Madison Pick
James Madison remains the stronger team but needed four quarters to escape Georgia Southern 27-24. Georgia State has enough offensive speed to punish an opponent that becomes overly aggressive.
The Dukes should win at home, although nearly two touchdowns feels excessive after last week’s narrow result. Georgia State plus the points and the under provide protection against another controlled James Madison victory.
Picks: James Madison ML, Georgia State +12.5, and Under 58.5
Ball State at Bowling Green Pick
Bowling Green dominated Sacramento State 38-10 and has a clear defensive advantage in this matchup. Ball State managed only 14 points against Northwestern and has struggled to create consistent passing offense.
The Falcons should build separation without needing an especially fast game. Bowling Green is the preferred side below seven, while Ball State’s limitations make the under appealing.
Picks: Bowling Green ML, Bowling Green -6.5, and Under 47.5
Charleston Southern at Clemson Pick
Clemson receives a major drop in competition and should control every phase against Charleston Southern. The only serious betting question is whether the Tigers remain aggressive long enough to cover more than six touchdowns.
Clemson’s depth should continue producing points even after the starters leave. The Tigers are capable of approaching the total themselves, creating a path to both the favorite and the over.
Picks: Clemson ML, Clemson -42.5, and Over 57.5
Cincinnati at West Virginia Pick
West Virginia allowed Arizona to score 52 points and has now surrendered 97 across its last two games. Cincinnati enters with the opportunity to attack a defense that has struggled to prevent explosive plays.
The Bearcats are the upset selection in a game priced close to even. The total is high enough that even another poor West Virginia defensive performance may not automatically create an over.
Picks: Cincinnati ML, Cincinnati +1.5, and Under 63.5
Florida Atlantic at Army Pick
Army survived Tulane 20-17 and continues to create uncomfortable, low-possession games. Florida Atlantic brings a 4-1 record but must handle the option on the road without giving away possessions through penalties or turnovers.
The Black Knights have the preparation and home-field advantage needed to win a close game. Army’s methodical offense makes the under the better companion wager.
Picks: Army ML, Army -2.5, and Under 55.5
Florida at Texas Pick
Texas must respond after losing 27-24 to Oklahoma, while Florida has dropped consecutive games by double digits. The Longhorns have the stronger defensive front and should benefit from returning home after the rivalry loss.
Florida has not shown enough consistency to trust with a double-digit spread. Texas should win comfortably, but both teams’ recent offensive struggles make the under more attractive than projecting a shootout.
Picks: Texas ML, Texas -10.5, and Under 52.5
Mississippi State at LSU Pick
Mississippi State enters 4-1 and already owns a 31-24 victory over Missouri. LSU is 4-2 after losing 35-34 in overtime at Kentucky, and the Tigers have not played with enough consistency to justify laying two touchdowns against a ranked opponent.
LSU still has the talent and home field to win, but Mississippi State can remain competitive by attacking an uneven defense and avoiding early turnovers. The Bulldogs plus 14 are the Week 7 best bet, with both offenses capable of pushing the game over 58.5.
Check out our full Mississippi State at LSU Pick and Prediction.
Picks: LSU ML, Mississippi State +14, and Over 58.5
Kansas at Kansas State Pick
Both rivals need a response after double-digit losses. Kansas State was beaten 35-16 by Houston, while Kansas allowed Utah to pull away for a 41-24 result.
Kansas State has the home-field advantage, but Kansas possesses enough offense to stay within one score. Defensive problems on both sides create the better path for the over.
Picks: Kansas State ML, Kansas +4.5, and Over 55.5
Northwestern at Michigan State Pick
Northwestern followed its upset of Penn State by beating Ball State 45-14. Michigan State lost 38-37 in overtime to Illinois, but the Spartans showed enough offensive improvement to be dangerous at home.
Northwestern is the more dependable winner, although the market has adjusted quickly to its recent success. Michigan State plus more than a touchdown and the over fit a competitive conference game.
Picks: Northwestern ML, Michigan State +7.5, and Over 48.5
Ohio State at Indiana Pick
Indiana remains unbeaten after rallying past Nebraska 20-17, but Ohio State presents a major increase in speed and depth. The Buckeyes handled Maryland 45-16 and have the defensive personnel to make Indiana earn every possession.
Ohio State should create enough pressure to win by more than a field goal. Indiana’s disciplined style and the importance of the matchup make the under preferable at 50.5.
Picks: Ohio State ML, Ohio State -3.5, and Under 50.5
Pittsburgh at Boston College Pick
Pittsburgh was upset 21-17 by North Carolina despite entering as the ranked team. Boston College has not produced enough offense to make a strong case for the outright upset, but home field matters in a game with a very low total.
The Panthers should rebound and win, yet laying nearly a touchdown on the road is uncomfortable. Boston College plus the points and the under are the more attractive betting positions.
Picks: Pittsburgh ML, Boston College +6.5, and Under 42.5
Virginia at SMU Pick
Virginia has played consecutive close games and beat Syracuse 28-25 last week. SMU is ranked and owns the more explosive offense, but the Mustangs are being asked to create separation against a confident opponent.
SMU should win at home, while Virginia has enough offensive balance to stay inside double digits. Both quarterbacks should have opportunities against defenses that have allowed sustained drives.
Picks: SMU ML, Virginia +9.5, and Over 51.5
Rutgers at Maryland Pick
Maryland was competitive for stretches against Ohio State before losing 45-16. Rutgers has also struggled against the stronger teams on its schedule and must improve its passing efficiency on the road.
Maryland has the clearer offensive ceiling and should cover a number below five. Neither offense needs an especially fast tempo, keeping the under in play.
Picks: Maryland ML, Maryland -4.5, and Under 57.5
UMass at Buffalo Pick
Buffalo produced one of Week 6’s biggest surprises by beating Toledo 23-8. UMass lost 20-19 to Miami and now faces a defense playing with confidence.
Buffalo should control the line of scrimmage and win by at least a touchdown. With the total barely above 40, there is limited room, but both teams’ offensive limitations still favor the under.
Picks: Buffalo ML, Buffalo -6.5, and Under 41.5
The Citadel at Texas A&M Pick
Texas A&M returns home after producing only six points in a loss at Missouri. The Aggies should dominate possession and defensive field position against an overmatched FCS opponent.
Covering 45.5 points requires Texas A&M to remain productive deep into the second half, something its offense has not consistently done. The Citadel and the under provide protection against an early clock-draining finish.
Picks: Texas A&M ML, The Citadel +45.5, and Under 56.5
Charlotte at Temple Pick
Charlotte allowed North Texas to score 50 points and has struggled to compete against capable conference opponents. Temple owns the better defense and should repeatedly begin possessions with favorable field position.
The Owls can cover three touchdowns if they avoid settling for field goals. Charlotte’s limited contribution also makes the under the preferred total despite the potential for a one-sided result.
Picks: Temple ML, Temple -21, and Under 47.5
Western Michigan at Central Michigan Pick
Western Michigan has allowed only seven points in each of its last two games. Central Michigan lost 31-14 at Ohio and now faces another defense capable of controlling early downs.
The Broncos should win the directional rivalry by more than a touchdown if their defense continues setting the pace. A total in the low 40s is justified, and the under remains the better position.
Picks: Western Michigan ML, Western Michigan -6.5, and Under 43.5
Toledo at Eastern Michigan Pick
Toledo must respond after a shocking 23-8 home loss to Buffalo. Eastern Michigan beat Akron by two, but that performance did not show the type of dominance needed to dismiss a motivated Toledo team.
The Rockets should rebound behind the stronger roster and cover less than a touchdown. Both teams have recently played below their offensive ceilings, supporting the under.
Picks: Toledo ML, Toledo -6.5, and Under 53.5
UNLV at Air Force Pick
UNLV held North Dakota State to seven points, while Air Force controlled Northern Illinois 28-7. This matchup should be decided by discipline, tackling and which offense avoids third-and-long.
Air Force is the preferred home underdog because its option attack can dictate pace and reduce possessions. That same script points toward the under.
Picks: Air Force ML, Air Force +1.5, and Under 48.5
North Carolina at Duke Pick
North Carolina earned a quality 21-17 upset at Pittsburgh and now faces a Duke team coming off a narrow loss to Georgia Tech. The Tar Heels have improved defensively, but Duke has the home field and slightly more dependable overall profile.
Duke is the straight-up choice, although more than a field goal is too much against a rival gaining confidence. The under fits a game in which both defenses have recently played well.
Picks: Duke ML, North Carolina +3.5, and Under 47.5
Penn State at Michigan Pick
Penn State has lost consecutive games to Northwestern and USC, allowing 65 points across those defeats. Michigan comes off additional preparation time and should attack a defense that has struggled to get off the field.
The Wolverines are the preferred side at less than a touchdown. Penn State’s offensive inconsistency and Michigan’s likely emphasis on controlling possession make the under attractive.
Picks: Michigan ML, Michigan -6.5, and Under 42.5
Northern Illinois at Wyoming Pick
Northern Illinois scored only seven points against Air Force. Wyoming earned a 16-13 overtime win at San Jose State and returns home with a defense capable of creating another uncomfortable game.
Wyoming should win by more than a touchdown if its offense avoids giving away short fields. Neither side has shown enough passing production to justify backing the over.
Picks: Wyoming ML, Wyoming -7.5, and Under 40.5
Missouri at Ole Miss Pick
Missouri held Texas A&M to six points one week after routing Florida. Ole Miss scored 52 at Vanderbilt and owns the more explosive home offense, but the Tigers are playing too well to dismiss as nearly a touchdown underdog.
Ole Miss is the narrow straight-up selection, while Missouri plus 6.5 is the better spread position. Both offenses possess multiple explosive threats, giving the over a realistic path.
Picks: Ole Miss ML, Missouri +6.5, and Over 58.5
Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech Pick
Georgia Tech beat Duke 28-25 and continues to find ways to win close games. Virginia Tech lost 25-20 at California and has not shown enough consistency to justify laying double digits.
Georgia Tech is the outright upset selection and the clear side with 10 points. A competitive game controlled by rushing attempts and field position supports the under.
Picks: Georgia Tech ML, Georgia Tech +10, and Under 57.5
Alabama at Tennessee Pick
Alabama lost a physical 20-17 game to Georgia, while Tennessee rallied past Arkansas 24-17. The Crimson Tide remain the deeper team, but asking them to cover more than a touchdown at Neyland Stadium is aggressive.
Alabama is the straight-up choice, while Tennessee plus 8.5 offers the better spread value. Both teams should emphasize avoiding the turnovers that decide rivalry games, favoring the under.
Picks: Alabama ML, Tennessee +8.5, and Under 51.5
Auburn at Georgia Pick
Georgia earned a major 20-17 road win at Alabama and returns home as the new No. 1 team. Auburn has enough defensive talent to make this rivalry uncomfortable, even if its offense struggles to sustain drives.
The Bulldogs should win, but covering more than 20 points after an emotional victory is a difficult assignment. Auburn and the under fit a game Georgia can control without chasing a margin.
Picks: Georgia ML, Auburn +20.5, and Under 49.5
Arizona State at Texas Tech Pick
Arizona State beat Hawaii 30-12 but now faces a top-10 Texas Tech team on the road. The Red Raiders have the defensive speed to limit explosive plays and force Arizona State into long-yardage situations.
Texas Tech should gradually build a multi-score advantage. With the total below 50, the under still makes sense because Arizona State may struggle to contribute more than two touchdowns.
Picks: Texas Tech ML, Texas Tech -14.5, and Under 48.5
Akron at Miami (OH) Pick
Akron lost by only two points to Eastern Michigan, while Miami escaped UMass 20-19. Those results make a double-digit spread difficult to support, even with Miami playing at home.
The RedHawks should win, but Akron has the defensive ability to remain within 10. Both offenses have struggled to finish drives, pointing toward the under.
Picks: Miami (OH) ML, Akron +10, and Under 46.5
Tulsa at Rice Pick
Tulsa scored 26 at Navy and showed more offensive life than Rice managed in a 28-12 loss to East Carolina. Rice returns home but remains vulnerable when forced into predictable passing situations.
Tulsa has the better recent offensive form and should cover four points. The total is high enough to prefer the under if Rice remains limited.
Picks: Tulsa ML, Tulsa -4, and Under 46.5
Troy at Louisiana Pick
Troy scored 55 against Southern Miss and enters with the more dangerous offensive ceiling. Louisiana lost 32-31 to Louisiana Tech and now has little margin for defensive mistakes.
Troy is the upset selection and receiving more than a field goal strengthens the case. Both teams should create explosive plays, making the over the preferred total.
Picks: Troy ML, Troy +4.5, and Over 49.5
Washington State at Oregon State Pick
Oregon State exploded for 66 points against San Diego State. Washington State played better at Utah State but still lost 17-16, extending its offensive inconsistency.
The Beavers should win comfortably, although 17.5 points gives Washington State room to cover with a late score. Oregon State’s recent form and Washington State’s improved effort support the over.
Picks: Oregon State ML, Washington State +17.5, and Over 52.5
Arkansas State at Southern Miss Pick
Arkansas State scored 49 in a loss to South Alabama, while Southern Miss allowed Troy to reach 55. Neither defense showed an ability to consistently prevent explosive plays last week.
Arkansas State has the more trustworthy offense and should cover a touchdown. The matchup profiles point toward another high-scoring Sun Belt game.
Picks: Arkansas State ML, Arkansas State -7, and Over 62.5
Arkansas at Vanderbilt Pick
Arkansas remained competitive in a 24-17 loss to Tennessee. Vanderbilt was overwhelmed 52-17 by Ole Miss, making the Commodores difficult to support as nearly a touchdown favorite.
Arkansas is the upset selection and the better spread side. Both teams should lean on the run and attempt to protect vulnerable defenses, favoring the under.
Picks: Arkansas ML, Arkansas +6.5, and Under 50.5
Florida State at Miami Pick
Florida State has been outplayed in consecutive losses and just allowed Louisville to score 44 points. Miami brings elite speed and depth into a rivalry game at home.
The Hurricanes should control both lines of scrimmage and cover three touchdowns if they avoid turnovers. Rivalry familiarity and Florida State’s uncertain offensive contribution make the under the preferred total.
Picks: Miami ML, Miami -21, and Under 55.5
Kent State at South Florida Pick
South Florida lost 31-24 at UTSA but remained competitive until the final possession. Kent State was held to seven points by Western Michigan and now faces a much faster opponent.
The Bulls should create a comfortable margin and cover if they finish drives. South Florida can provide most of the scoring needed to clear a modest total.
Picks: South Florida ML, South Florida -20.5, and Over 45.5
Nevada at North Dakota State Pick
Nevada beat UTEP 30-13 and has shown enough improvement to challenge a large spread. North Dakota State held UNLV to 13 points but generated only seven itself.
The Bison should win at home, although asking their offense to cover more than two touchdowns is risky. Nevada plus 15.5 and the under fit a defensive game.
Picks: North Dakota State ML, Nevada +15.5, and Under 42.5
TCU at Baylor Pick
TCU has struggled to produce explosive offense against stronger defenses. Baylor owns the home field and should be able to pressure the Horned Frogs into another inefficient passing performance.
The Bears are the preferred side at six points. TCU’s offensive limitations also make the under more attractive than expecting a rivalry shootout.
Picks: Baylor ML, Baylor -6, and Under 48.5
Wisconsin at UCLA Pick
UCLA earned the upset of Week 6 by forcing seven turnovers in a 17-15 win at Oregon. Wisconsin offers a different physical challenge but has not consistently produced enough offense to exploit mistakes.
The Bruins should carry that momentum into a close home victory. Both teams are comfortable winning with defense and field position, supporting the under.
Picks: UCLA ML, UCLA -2.5, and Under 43.5
Kentucky at Oklahoma Pick
Kentucky upset LSU 35-34 in overtime, while Oklahoma stunned No. 1 Texas 27-24. Both teams now face the difficult task of refocusing after emotional victories.
Oklahoma has the home field and the stronger defensive ceiling, but seven points are valuable with a Kentucky team playing confidently. A slower game after last week’s emotional peaks favors the under.
Picks: Oklahoma ML, Kentucky +7, and Under 43.5
Oklahoma State at Houston Pick
Oklahoma State scored 42 against UCF, and Houston produced a convincing 35-16 road win at Kansas State. This matchup features two offenses capable of scoring quickly and punishing coverage mistakes.
Houston is the preferred home side because of its more complete Week 6 performance. With both teams entering in strong offensive form, the over remains playable despite a total above 60.
Picks: Houston ML, Houston -4.5, and Over 62.5
Notre Dame at BYU Pick
Notre Dame dismantled Stanford 58-7, while BYU held Iowa State to 10 points in a 24-10 victory. The Irish have the stronger roster, but Provo is a difficult environment and BYU continues to defend at a high level.
Notre Dame should win, although laying double digits against a top-10 opponent is too expensive. BYU plus 10.5 and the under are the preferred positions.
Picks: Notre Dame ML, BYU +10.5, and Under 46.5
Louisville at Syracuse Pick
Louisville produced its best performance of the season in a 44-20 win over Florida State. Syracuse remained competitive at Virginia but allowed too many sustained drives in a 28-25 loss.
The Cardinals have the offensive balance to cover two touchdowns if they avoid a letdown. Syracuse can contribute enough points at home to help the game move over the total.
Picks: Louisville ML, Louisville -14.5, and Over 55.5
Elon at Stanford Pick
Stanford returns home after being embarrassed 58-7 at Notre Dame. Elon presents a significant drop in competition, but Stanford has not shown enough offensive consistency to comfortably lay more than five touchdowns.
The Cardinal should win without difficulty, while Elon plus the points provides protection against a conservative second half. That same scenario supports the under.
Picks: Stanford ML, Elon +35.5, and Under 55.5
Navy at UTSA Pick
Navy scored 34 against Tulsa and continues to create difficult preparation problems with its rushing attack. UTSA survived South Florida 31-24 and has repeatedly executed well in close fourth quarters.
The Roadrunners are the straight-up choice at home, but Navy plus seven is the stronger spread position. Both offenses can sustain drives and finish in the red zone, supporting the over.
Picks: UTSA ML, Navy +7, and Over 55.5
Louisiana Tech at UL Monroe Pick
Louisiana Tech earned a 32-31 rivalry victory over Louisiana and enters with confidence. UL Monroe has struggled to prevent opponents from controlling the line of scrimmage.
The Bulldogs should create a multi-score margin and cover 15 if they avoid a turnover-driven letdown. Louisiana Tech can control the second half on the ground, making the under the better total.
Picks: Louisiana Tech ML, Louisiana Tech -15, and Under 57.5
San Jose State at UTEP Pick
San Jose State lost 16-13 in overtime to Wyoming but still owns the stronger defensive profile. UTEP was beaten 30-13 by Nevada and continues to struggle with offensive consistency.
The Spartans should rebound and cover more than a touchdown. UTEP’s scoring problems make the under the logical companion play.
Picks: San Jose State ML, San Jose State -7.5, and Under 46.5
Ohio at Sacramento State Pick
Ohio controlled Central Michigan 31-14 and now faces a Sacramento State team that lost 38-10 at Bowling Green. The Bobcats have the defensive advantage and the more reliable rushing attack.
Ohio should win by more than two touchdowns if it protects the football. Sacramento State’s limited offense keeps the under attractive.
Picks: Ohio ML, Ohio -15, and Under 48.5
Utah at Colorado Pick
Utah pulled away from Kansas for a 41-24 victory and continues to impose itself physically. Colorado faces a difficult assignment against a defense capable of eliminating the run and creating pressure without blitzing heavily.
The Utes should cover if they avoid an emotional letdown on the road. Utah can produce enough explosive plays to move the game over 49.5 even if Colorado contributes modestly.
Picks: Utah ML, Utah -15.5, and Over 49.5
New Mexico at Hawaii Pick
Hawaii was held to 12 points at Arizona State and now faces a New Mexico team favored by more than two touchdowns. The Lobos have the stronger offensive profile and should repeatedly create favorable field position.
New Mexico is the preferred side despite the road setting. Hawaii’s scoring problems make the under the better total.
Picks: New Mexico ML, New Mexico -14.5, and Under 45.5
Fresno State at San Diego State Pick
Fresno State stayed competitive with Boise State before losing 38-31. San Diego State allowed Oregon State to score 66 and must now repair major problems at every level of its defense.
The Bulldogs should win by more than a touchdown against a team that has not shown an immediate defensive answer. San Diego State’s vulnerability creates a route to the over.
Picks: Fresno State ML, Fresno State -7.5, and Over 46.5
Wake Forest at California Pick
Wake Forest improved to 5-1 by beating NC State 38-14. California defeated Virginia Tech 25-20, but the Golden Bears now face a more balanced offense capable of attacking both the perimeter and the middle of the field.
Wake Forest should cover if its defense continues winning early downs. California’s preferred pace and the late kickoff make the under slightly more appealing.
Picks: Wake Forest ML, Wake Forest -9.5, and Under 52.5
Nebraska at Oregon Pick
Nebraska led Indiana for much of last week’s game before losing 20-17. Oregon committed seven turnovers in its 17-15 loss to UCLA and now faces pressure to respond at home.
The Ducks should win, but Nebraska plus 7.5 is attractive after its defense limited an unbeaten Indiana team. Both programs should emphasize ball security and controlled possessions, supporting the under.
Picks: Oregon ML, Nebraska +7.5, and Under 52.5
College Football Picks Record
| Category | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall College Football Picks | 683-437-4 |
| Moneyline Picks | 331-73 |
| ATS Picks | 179-177-4 |
| Total Picks | 173-187 |
| Best Bets | 2-5 |
The record will be updated after each completed college football slate.
How to Bet on College Football Games
The three most popular college football betting markets are the moneyline, point spread, and game total. Each market provides a different way to approach a matchup depending on where you believe the strongest betting value exists.
A moneyline wager is a bet on which team will win the game outright. The final margin does not matter. Favourites typically carry a higher price, while underdogs offer a larger potential return.
ATS stands for “against the spread.” The favourite must win by more than the posted point spread to cover. The underdog can cover by winning outright or losing by fewer points than the spread. A game that finishes directly on the listed spread is normally graded as a push.
A total wager focuses on the combined number of points scored by both teams. Bettors can select the over if they expect the final score to exceed the posted total or the under if they anticipate a lower-scoring game.
What We Consider When Making College Football Picks
Our college football picks are based on identifying betting value rather than simply choosing the team with the better record or national ranking. We evaluate quarterback play, offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, turnover margin, injuries, home-field advantage, coaching tendencies, weather, rest, travel, and how the betting market has priced each matchup.
Conference games require particular attention because familiar opponents may understand each other’s systems and personnel. Rivalry games can also produce unusual results, especially when motivation and emotion outweigh differences in season-long performance.
College football rosters and playing styles vary considerably. A matchup between teams from different conferences or competitive levels must be evaluated within the context of each programme’s schedule, personnel, and quality of opposition.
Understanding College Football Point Spreads
College football point spreads can be considerably larger than NFL spreads because of the differences in talent between programmes. National contenders may be favoured by several touchdowns when facing rebuilding teams or opponents from smaller conferences.
A large favourite does not need merely to win the game—it must win by more than the posted spread. This creates an important distinction between predicting the game’s winner and deciding which team offers the best ATS value.
Late scoring can be particularly important when betting college football spreads. Teams may continue playing aggressively with a comfortable lead, while others may give reserve players extended playing time during the second half.
College Football Total Picks
College football totals can vary widely because teams use different offensive systems and play at different tempos. Some programmes rely on quick possessions and explosive passing plays, while others prefer longer drives designed to control the clock.
Defensive efficiency, offensive pace, quarterback play, weather, and red-zone execution can all influence an over-or-under selection. A high-scoring offence does not automatically make the over the correct wager if the sportsbook has already accounted for that strength with an elevated total.
Game script is another important consideration. A heavy favourite may build an early lead and slow the pace, or the underdog may be forced to throw more frequently while attempting to mount a comeback.
College Football Betting Tips
Compare betting lines across multiple sportsbooks before placing a wager. Even half a point can determine whether an ATS or total wager wins, loses, or pushes.
Avoid selecting a team solely because of its ranking, reputation, or recent national attention. Sportsbooks understand public perception and may adjust the line accordingly. The better-known team is not always the side offering the strongest value.
It is also important to manage your bankroll carefully. College football Saturdays can feature a large number of attractive games, but wagering on too many matchups can make disciplined decision-making more difficult.
Focus on the games you understand best, maintain consistent wager sizes, and avoid chasing losses later in the day.
Betting on Ranked College Football Teams
Games involving ranked teams attract considerable attention, but national rankings are not betting power ratings. Rankings are designed to compare team accomplishments, while betting lines attempt to estimate the likely margin between two opponents.
A lower-ranked or unranked team may still be favoured because of home-field advantage, injuries, matchup strengths, or how the betting market evaluates each team.
Rather than assuming the higher-ranked programme should cover, consider whether the point spread accurately reflects the matchup and game location.
Betting on College Football Rivalry Games
Rivalry games often carry additional emotional significance for players, coaches, and supporters. Records and rankings still matter, but motivation can make these matchups more competitive than expected.
Familiarity can also influence the result. Conference and in-state rivals may understand each other’s tendencies, personnel, and coaching systems better than unfamiliar opponents.
Bettors should avoid assuming that every rivalry game will be close. The point spread, current personnel, recent performance, and matchup still need to support the wager.
College Football Conference Championship Picks
Conference championship games bring together many of the strongest teams from each league. These contests may also influence College Football Playoff qualification, adding further importance to every possession.
Some conference championships are played at neutral venues, while others may provide one programme with a geographical or crowd advantage. Bettors should verify the location rather than automatically treating the first-listed team as the visitor and the second-listed team as the host.
Rematches require additional consideration because both coaching staffs can adjust based on the first meeting. However, bettors should avoid assuming that the previous result will automatically be reversed.
College Football Bowl Game Picks
College football bowl betting presents challenges that are less common during the regular season. Coaching changes, transfer-portal activity, NFL Draft decisions, injuries, and player opt-outs can significantly affect a team between its final regular-season game and bowl appearance.
Motivation is frequently discussed during bowl season, but it should not be treated as the only deciding factor. Personnel availability, quarterback play, coaching continuity, and the matchup between each team’s strengths are usually more dependable considerations.
Because important availability news may emerge close to kickoff, bowl-game betting lines can move considerably. Always check the latest roster information and odds before placing a wager.
College Football Playoff Picks
College Football Playoff games feature elite competition and intense betting interest. Public attention can influence the market, particularly when a nationally recognised programme faces a less familiar opponent.
Strength of schedule, offensive and defensive matchups, venue, rest, quarterback play, and coaching experience should all be considered. The team with the strongest overall résumé will not necessarily provide the best value against the spread.
As the postseason progresses, the market gains more information about each remaining team. This can make obvious betting value increasingly difficult to find.
Responsible Gambling Reminder
Sports betting should always be treated as entertainment rather than guaranteed income. Only wager what you can comfortably afford to lose, establish reasonable limits, and never chase losses.
If betting stops being enjoyable or begins creating financial or emotional stress, take a break and seek assistance. Responsible gambling is more important than the result of any individual wager.
College Football Picks FAQ
Are these college football picks updated every week?
Yes. We update this page throughout the college football season with moneyline picks, ATS picks, total picks, and our best bet of the week.
Do you provide picks for every college football game?
We aim to cover the most prominent and bettable games on each weekly schedule. However, the large number of college football matchups means not every game will receive an in-depth preview.
How can I find a particular team on this page?
Press Ctrl + F on a Windows computer or Command + F on an Apple Mac and enter the team’s name. On an iPhone, iPad, or Android device, open the browser menu and select Find on Page.
What is the best college football bet this week?
Our favourite wager is featured in the College Football Best Bet of the Week section near the top of the page. The selection may be a moneyline, point spread, or game total.
Do you track your college football betting record?
Yes. We maintain running records for our overall picks, moneyline selections, ATS picks, totals, and best bets throughout the season.
What does ATS mean in college football betting?
ATS stands for “against the spread.” Instead of simply selecting the winner, you are betting on whether a team will cover the sportsbook’s posted point spread.
What is a college football moneyline bet?
A moneyline wager is a bet on which team will win the game outright. The final margin does not matter, although favourites and underdogs are offered at different prices.
What is a college football total?
The total is the sportsbook’s projected number of combined points for both teams. Bettors can wager on whether the final combined score will finish over or under that number.
Do you provide college football bowl picks?
Yes. We provide picks during bowl season while accounting for coaching changes, transfers, injuries, NFL Draft declarations, and player availability whenever reliable information is available.
Do you provide College Football Playoff picks?
Yes. Our postseason coverage includes College Football Playoff games and the national championship.
What is the best way to bet on college football?
Most bettors focus on moneylines, point spreads, and totals. The key is identifying value, comparing available odds, managing your bankroll, and remaining disciplined throughout the season.
More Free Football Picks
Are you looking for additional predictions? Check out our free football picks covering the biggest games throughout the season.
If you want to get in on the professional action, check out our free NFL picks.
Interested in Canadian football? Visit our free CFL picks for weekly moneyline, ATS, total, and best-bet predictions.
