Free CFL Picks Week 11
Looking for this week’s CFL picks? Below you’ll find our Canadian Football League predictions, including moneyline picks, ATS picks, total picks, our best bet of the week, and game-by-game analysis. We update this page every week throughout the CFL season and track our running betting record.
TToday’s CFL Picks (Week 11)
| Game | Moneyline Pick | ATS Pick | Total Pick | Best Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BC Lions vs Calgary Stampeders | Calgary | BC +5.5 | Under 64.5 | No |
| Ottawa REDBLACKS vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers | Winnipeg | Winnipeg -6.5 | Under 56.5 | No |
| Toronto Argonauts vs Edmonton Elks | Edmonton | Edmonton -3.5 | Under 61.5 | ✅ Yes |
| Saskatchewan Roughriders vs Hamilton Tiger-Cats | Saskatchewan | Saskatchewan -6.5 | Over 56.5 | No |
Lines used: Calgary -5.5 with a total of 64.5, Winnipeg -6.5 with a total of 56.5, Edmonton -3.5 with a total of 61.5, and Saskatchewan -6.5 with a total of 56.5. Betting lines may move before kickoff.
Week 11 runs Thursday through Saturday with four games. Montreal, which improved to 8-1 by beating Edmonton 48-30 last week, has the bye.
CFL Best Bet of the Week
Best Bet: Edmonton Elks -3.5 vs Toronto Argonauts
Edmonton finally hit a speed bump last week, losing 48-30 in Montreal, but I don’t want to overreact to one road defeat against an Alouettes team that has established itself as the CFL’s current benchmark. The Elks return home at 6-3 and have generally been one of the league’s most dependable teams. Toronto comes in at 4-4 after escaping Calgary 33-30 despite committing five turnovers.
The matchup gives Edmonton an excellent bounce-back opportunity. Toronto deserves credit for its recent improvement, but its turnover issues are dangerous against an Elks team that should play with considerably more urgency after allowing 48 points. At only -3.5, we essentially need Edmonton to win at home by more than a field goal. My projected range is Edmonton by 6-9 points, making Elks -3.5 my strongest Week 11 play.
BC Lions vs Calgary Stampeders Pick
The moneyline pick for this matchup is Calgary, the ATS pick is BC +5.5, and the total pick is Under 64.5.
BC enters Week 11 with some momentum after beating Hamilton 26-23, while Calgary is trying to recover from a frustrating 33-30 loss at Toronto. Calgary has been much more competitive than its 4-5 record suggests, owning a positive point differential despite sitting below .500. The Stampeders also return home for this matchup, which is enough to give them the outright edge.
The spread is a different question. Calgary laying 5.5 feels a little expensive against a BC team that has begun showing improvement, and the Lions have enough offensive upside to remain within one possession. The 64.5 total is also extremely high, requiring both teams to sustain offence for four quarters. Calgary wins, BC +5.5 covers, and I’ll take Under 64.5.
Ottawa REDBLACKS vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers Pick
The moneyline pick for this matchup is Winnipeg, the ATS pick is Winnipeg -6.5, and the total pick is Under 56.5.
Ottawa remains the league’s biggest fade after falling to 0-8 with a 42-20 loss at Saskatchewan. The REDBLACKS have repeatedly struggled to turn competitive stretches into complete games, and now they travel to Winnipeg against a Blue Bombers team with a major opportunity to improve its position in the West. This is exactly the type of matchup Winnipeg needs to handle.
The number has climbed beyond a touchdown at some shops, but at Winnipeg -6.5, I’m willing to lay it. Ottawa has given us little reason to trust it to finish games, while Winnipeg doesn’t necessarily need an offensive explosion to cover. I also prefer the Under 56.5 because Winnipeg should be able to control the game rather than turn it into a shootout. Winnipeg wins by multiple scores, covers -6.5, and the game stays Under 56.5.
Toronto Argonauts vs Edmonton Elks Pick
The moneyline pick for this matchup is Edmonton, the ATS pick is Edmonton -3.5, and the total pick is Under 61.5.
Edmonton’s 48-30 loss to Montreal was ugly, but the Elks remain 6-3 and return home after running into the CFL’s hottest team. Toronto improved to 4-4 by beating Calgary 33-30, but five turnovers in that victory are impossible to ignore. Giving Edmonton additional possessions would make winning on the road extremely difficult.
This is a good buy-back position on Edmonton after its worst defensive showing of the season. The Elks should be much sharper at home, and -3.5 isn’t asking them to dominate. Toronto can score enough to keep things interesting, but 61.5 gives us a sizeable total that requires sustained offensive efficiency from both sides. Edmonton -3.5 is the Week 11 best bet, with Under 61.5 as the accompanying total play.
Saskatchewan Roughriders vs Hamilton Tiger-Cats Pick
The moneyline pick for this matchup is Saskatchewan, the ATS pick is Saskatchewan -6.5, and the total pick is Over 56.5.
Saskatchewan reclaimed the West Division lead with a convincing 42-20 victory over Ottawa and enters Week 11 at 6-2. The Roughriders have also been excellent away from home, which makes the trip to Hamilton less concerning. Hamilton is coming off a 26-23 loss to BC and now faces a considerably stronger Saskatchewan team.
This is the favourite I’m willing to lay points with despite Saskatchewan being on the road. The Riders have scored 274 points through eight games — more than 34 per game — and their offensive ceiling makes Hamilton’s task difficult. Unlike Ottawa-Winnipeg, I want the Over here. Hamilton should contribute enough at home to push the game into the upper 50s or low 60s. Saskatchewan wins and covers -6.5, with Over 56.5 completing the card.
Week 11 Confidence Order
- Edmonton Elks -3.5 — Best Bet
- Saskatchewan Roughriders -6.5
- Winnipeg Blue Bombers -6.5
- BC Lions +5.5
For the totals, BC-Calgary Under 64.5 is my favourite, followed by Toronto-Edmonton Under 61.5.
CFL Picks Record
| Category | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall CFL Picks | 43-29 |
| Moneyline Picks | 16-8 |
| ATS Picks | 10-14 |
| Total Picks | 17-7 |
| Best Bets | 4-2 |
How to Bet CFL Games
The three most popular CFL betting markets are the moneyline, point spread (ATS), and game total. Each market offers a different way to attack a matchup depending on where you believe the betting value exists.
A moneyline wager is simply a bet on which team will win the game outright. It’s often the easiest market for new bettors to understand because the final margin doesn’t matter.
ATS betting, or against the spread, requires a team to cover the sportsbook’s point spread. Favorites must win by more than the listed number, while underdogs can either win outright or lose by fewer points than the spread.
Total bets focus on the combined points scored by both teams. If you expect an offensive game, you’ll lean toward the over. If you think defenses will control the matchup, the under may provide better value.
What We Consider When Making CFL Picks
Our CFL picks are built around identifying betting value instead of simply predicting winners. We evaluate quarterback play, offensive and defensive efficiency, recent team form, turnover margin, special teams, home and road performance, scheduling spots, injuries when available, and how the betting market is pricing each game.
Because point spreads and totals can move throughout the week, always compare the latest odds before placing your wager.
CFL Betting Tips
The CFL’s larger field and three-down format often create explosive scoring opportunities and dramatic momentum swings. That makes bankroll management even more important than picking individual winners.
Stay disciplined with your wager sizes, avoid chasing losses after a bad week, and remember that successful sports betting is about finding value over an entire season—not winning every game.
Responsible Gambling Reminder
Sports betting should always be treated as entertainment, not guaranteed income. Only wager what you can comfortably afford to lose, and never chase losses. If betting stops being enjoyable or begins creating financial stress, take a break and seek support.
CFL Picks FAQ
Are these CFL picks updated every week?
Yes. We update this page every week throughout the CFL season with moneyline picks, ATS picks, total picks, and our best bet.
Do you cover every CFL game?
Yes. Whenever a full CFL slate is available, we aim to provide picks and analysis for every game on the schedule.
What is the best CFL bet this week?
Our favorite wager is featured in the CFL Best Bet of the Week section near the top of the page.
Do you track your betting record?
Yes. We maintain a running record for overall picks, moneyline picks, ATS picks, total picks, and best bets throughout the season.
What does ATS mean?
ATS stands for Against the Spread. Rather than simply picking the winner, you’re betting on whether a team covers the sportsbook’s point spread.
What is the best way to bet CFL games?
Most bettors focus on moneylines, point spreads, and totals. The key is identifying value, managing your bankroll, and remaining disciplined throughout the season rather than trying to win every wager.
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