San Antonio visits the United Center in Chicago at 8:00 p.m. ET on NBA League Pass, subject to local restrictions. The Spurs are favored by 14.5 with a total of 238.5. The spread asks San Antonio to sustain a big lead, but the matchup around the rim gives the Spurs a way to do it. See our NBA picks.
San Antonio Can Score Inside Even if the Threes Don’t Fall
The Spurs are 9-2 and 5-0 on the road after beating Phoenix 122-96 Monday. They also won 125-103 at Portland Saturday. They’ve shown they can separate on the road without needing the game to turn into a shootout.
San Antonio averages 118.7 points and allows 107.0. Chicago has to decide how early to help in the paint. Late help leaves a good shot at the rim; early help opens cuts and passes to the weak side. San Antonio can create a steady scoring advantage either way.
Victor Wembanyama scored 40 at Phoenix after scoring 29 at Portland. His defensive presence matters just as much here. If Chicago has to finish over him or kick the ball back out, San Antonio can build a margin without scoring 130.
Chicago Needs Shooting to Keep San Antonio Out of the Lane
The Bulls are 1-8 and 0-3 at home after losing 127-121 to Philadelphia Sunday. Keeping that game within six is a fair warning against assuming every Chicago loss will be a blowout. The Bulls still gave up 127.
Chicago averages 112.7 points and allows 129.3. Its best chance is to force San Antonio to defend outside, then get back quickly enough to avoid conceding layups on misses. The Bulls will struggle to hold the number if they have to help at the rim and then give up a second shot.
Josh Giddey scored 19 against Philadelphia. His passing gives Chicago a way to attack before Wembanyama can get to the rim as a help defender. The Bulls need those passes to create immediate shots, because a reset favors the Spurs.
Spurs vs Bulls Team Comparison
| Metric | San Antonio | Chicago |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 9-2 | 1-8 |
| Road / home | 5-0 road | 0-3 home |
| Points scored / allowed per game | 118.7 / 107.0 | 112.7 / 129.3 |
| Most recent result | Won 122-96 at Phoenix | Lost 127-121 vs Philadelphia |
Spurs vs Bulls Head-to-Head
| Date | Result | Combined points |
|---|---|---|
| March 30, 2026 | San Antonio 129, Chicago 114 | 243 |
| November 10, 2025 | San Antonio 121, Chicago 117 | 238 |
San Antonio won both, but only one margin reached 15. The current defensive gap is the stronger argument for laying this spread.
Spurs vs Bulls Position-by-Position
| Position | San Antonio | Chicago | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| PG | De’Aaron Fox can get downhill before help arrives | Giddey can pass over the first defender | San Antonio |
| SG | Dylan Harper and Stephon Castle give San Antonio another way to drive | Needs reliable shooting behind the drive | San Antonio |
| SF | Can cut behind help sent inside | Must close out without giving up a straight-line drive | San Antonio |
| PF | Can help and rebound without crowding the offense | Needs to pull a defender away from the lane | San Antonio |
| C | Wembanyama changes shots at both ends | Needs early help and a second rebounder | San Antonio |
San Antonio Spurs vs Chicago Bulls Picks and Prediction
Spread Pick: San Antonio -14.5
This is my best bet. Chicago’s defense gives San Antonio too many paths to a good shot, and the Spurs can make the Bulls work much harder for theirs. The risk is a late Chicago run after San Antonio goes to the bench. I prefer -14.5 to laying 15.5.
Total Pick: Under 238.5
Chicago’s defensive numbers and the last head-to-head make the over plausible. I’m taking the under because San Antonio can do most of the scoring and still leave Chicago short of the contribution this number requires. I project San Antonio 124, Chicago 105.
Final Picks: San Antonio -14.5 and Under 238.5.
Completed November 10, 2026. Lines and player availability can change before tipoff.