San Antonio visits Phoenix at Mortgage Matchup Center at 9:00 p.m. ET, with regional coverage available through NBA League Pass where eligible. San Antonio is favored by 8.5, and the total is 228.5. Phoenix just beat Houston in the same building. Now it has to solve San Antonio’s rim protection. See our NBA picks.
San Antonio Can Force Phoenix Away From the Rim
The Spurs are 8-2 and 4-0 on the road after beating Portland 125-103 on Saturday. They’ve won eight straight. Portland kept the first quarter close before San Antonio scored 42 in the second and 45 in the third.
San Antonio averages 118.4 points and allows 108.1. The Spurs can make Phoenix settle for jumpers and then attack the other end before the Suns establish their interior coverage. If Phoenix keeps San Antonio out of transition, the Spurs can still get offense through their size.
Victor Wembanyama scored 29 against Portland and had 52 against Dallas earlier in the week. Phoenix will have to decide how early to send help. Late help gives Wembanyama a clean look; early help gives San Antonio a chance to move the ball before Phoenix can recover.
Phoenix Needs More Than a Late Booker Run
The Suns are 3-5 and 3-2 at home after beating Houston 102-99 on Saturday. That’s two straight wins after beating Orlando on Thursday. The Houston result shows Phoenix can win a lower-scoring game, but the Suns still have to generate points against a difficult interior matchup.
Phoenix averages 112.4 points and allows 118.6. The Suns need to force San Antonio to defend outside, then attack the gaps before Wembanyama gets back to the lane. Repeated drives straight into set rim protection would leave Phoenix relying too heavily on difficult jump shots.
Devin Booker scored 24 against Houston, including Phoenix’s last nine points. He can keep this close if he consistently gets to his spots. Mark Williams was listed out in the early snapshot; if that holds, Phoenix has fewer options to handle San Antonio’s size and finish defensive possessions.
Spurs vs Suns Team Comparison
| Category | San Antonio | Phoenix |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 | 3-5 |
| Road / home | 4-0 road | 3-2 home |
| Points scored / allowed | 118.4 / 108.1 | 112.4 / 118.6 |
| Saturday result | Won 125-103 at Portland | Won 102-99 vs Houston |
Spurs vs Suns Position-by-Position
| Position | San Antonio | Phoenix | Projected edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| PG | Can initiate quickly after stops | Needs to get Booker favorable matchups | San Antonio |
| SG | Must contest without giving up driving lanes | Booker supplies late-clock shot creation | Phoenix |
| SF | Can cut behind help on Wembanyama | Needs quick rotations and clean corner looks | Even |
| PF | Size gives the Spurs another rebounder | Needs to space the floor to pull help out | San Antonio |
| C | Wembanyama changes shots at both ends | Needs help and a reliable second rebounder | San Antonio |
San Antonio Spurs vs Phoenix Suns Picks and Prediction
Spread Pick: San Antonio -8.5
I’ll lay 8.5. Phoenix has a credible path to staying close through Booker and home shooting, but San Antonio has the bigger advantage at the rim and can keep that advantage for four quarters. I expect the Spurs to pull away if Phoenix has to spend too many possessions settling outside.
Total Pick: Under 228.5
The Spurs can score near their average without sending this over if they keep Phoenix around 106. Houston held the Suns to 102 on Saturday, and San Antonio has the size to make Phoenix’s first good look hard to find. The main risk is the Spurs turning a lead into a transition game. My projection is San Antonio 118, Phoenix 106.
Final Picks: San Antonio -8.5 and Under 228.5.
Completed November 8, 2026. Lines and player availability can change before tipoff.