Dallas visits Frost Bank Center on Wednesday at 9:30 p.m. ET on ESPN. San Antonio already won the first meeting and enters with stronger defensive results and better possession management. The Spurs are favored by 12.5 points, with the total at 229.5.
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Mavericks vs Spurs Game Information
| Tipoff | Wednesday, November 4 — 9:30 p.m. ET |
|---|---|
| Arena | Frost Bank Center, San Antonio |
| Television | ESPN |
| Lines Used | San Antonio -12.5; total 229.5 |
Dallas Cannot Afford Another Inefficient Offensive Night
Dallas is 4-3 overall and 2-1 on the road after losing 115-100 to Sacramento. The Mavericks also lost their first San Antonio meeting, 122-106.
Dallas averages 112.3 points and allows the same number. Its 16.6 turnovers per 100 possessions create a difficult matchup against a Spurs team that rarely gives possessions away. Dallas needs shots at the end of its trips, even when those shots are contested.
Daniel Gafford scored 20 against Sacramento. His interior production matters with Dereck Lively II unavailable. Kyrie Irving and Max Christie carry day-to-day designations, making Dallas’ final offensive rotation important.
San Antonio Has Been Winning the Possession Battle
San Antonio is 5-2 overall and 3-2 at home. Monday’s 119-97 victory over Utah extended its winning streak to five games.
The Spurs average 117.6 points while allowing 108.3. They commit only 12.9 turnovers per 100 possessions. That combination creates a steady route to separation when opponents struggle to generate efficient shots.
Dylan Harper scored 17 against Utah, leading the Spurs in a balanced victory. San Antonio benefits when it does not need one player to carry every scoring stretch. Tobias Harris and Jayden Quaintance remain listed out.
Mavericks vs Spurs Statistical Comparison
| Category | Dallas | San Antonio |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 4-3 | 5-2 |
| Points Per Game | 112.3 | 117.6 |
| Points Allowed | 112.3 | 108.3 |
Mavericks vs Spurs Picks and Predictions
Spread Pick: San Antonio Spurs -12.5
I’ll lay the number with San Antonio. Dallas’ turnovers and reduced interior depth create ways for the Spurs to build a lead without unusual shooting. Irving playing effectively would strengthen the underdog’s chances, and this is a substantial spread. Still, San Antonio already won this matchup by 16 and has continued defending well. I expect another double-digit result.
Total Pick: Under 229.5
San Antonio’s defense and Dallas’ recent scoring problems support the under. The concern is the Spurs creating so many easy opportunities that their offense carries the total. Dallas could also improve considerably if its guard rotation is stronger than Monday’s. My projection is Spurs 120, Mavericks 105, leaving the combined score below 229.5.
Final Prediction
| Moneyline | San Antonio |
|---|---|
| ATS | San Antonio -12.5 |
| Total | Under 229.5 |
| Projected Score | San Antonio 120, Dallas 105 |
Final Picks: San Antonio -12.5 and Under 229.5.
Prepared November 3, 2026. Dallas’ final guard availability matters. Lines and other injuries may change.