Looking for this week’s NFL picks? Below you’ll find our National Football League predictions, including moneyline picks, against-the-spread picks, totals, our best bet of the week, and game-by-game analysis. We update this page throughout the NFL preseason, regular season, and playoffs while tracking our running betting record.
This Week’s NFL Picks — Week 3
| Game | Moneyline Pick | ATS Pick | Total Pick | Best Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Falcons vs Green Bay Packers | Packers ML | Packers -5.5 | Under 43.5 | No |
| Carolina Panthers vs Cleveland Browns | Panthers ML | Panthers -2.5 | Under 42.5 | No |
| Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers | Bengals ML | Bengals -3.5 | Under 42.5 | No |
| Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts | Colts ML | Colts +3 | Under 42.5 | No |
| Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins | Chiefs ML | Chiefs -11.5 | Under 46.5 | No |
| Los Angeles Chargers vs Buffalo Bills | Bills ML | Bills -7 | Over 50.5 | No |
| New England Patriots vs Jacksonville Jaguars | Patriots ML | Patriots +3 | Under 45.5 | No |
| New York Jets vs Detroit Lions | Lions ML | Jets +6.5 | Over 47.5 | No |
| Seattle Seahawks vs Washington Commanders | Seahawks ML | Seahawks -7 | Under 40.5 | Yes |
| Tennessee Titans vs New York Giants | Titans ML | Titans +2.5 | Under 39.5 | No |
| Arizona Cardinals vs San Francisco 49ers | 49ers ML | 49ers -8.5 | Under 47.5 | No |
| Minnesota Vikings vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Vikings ML | Vikings -1.5 | Under 42.5 | No |
| Baltimore Ravens vs Dallas Cowboys | Cowboys ML | Cowboys +3.5 | Over 52.5 | No |
| Las Vegas Raiders vs New Orleans Saints | Saints ML | Saints -3 | Over 44.5 | No |
| Los Angeles Rams vs Denver Broncos | Broncos ML | Broncos +2.5 | Under 45.5 | No |
| Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears | Eagles ML | Eagles -4.5 | Under 41.5 | No |
NFL Best Bet of the Week
Best Bet: Seattle Seahawks -7
Seattle enters Week 3 undefeated and has established one of the league’s strongest early-season defensive profiles. Washington, meanwhile, allowed 37 points in its Week 2 loss to Dallas and must now prepare for an aggressive Seattle defense while dealing with considerable uncertainty at quarterback. The Commanders could struggle to create explosive plays or sustain drives against a defense capable of controlling the line of scrimmage.
The spread has climbed considerably from its opening number, but Seattle still has the advantage on both sides of the football. Washington’s quarterback situation also makes a comeback more difficult if the Seahawks build an early lead. Seattle should create short fields, control possession and pull away during the second half.
Make sure you are ready for all the action with our free NFL Best Bet pick.
Atlanta Falcons vs Green Bay Packers Picks
Atlanta enters Thursday night at 0-2 after suffering a 34-3 loss to Carolina, and the Falcons must now start Michael Penix Jr. on a short week. The absence of top cornerback A.J. Terrell creates another difficult matchup against a Green Bay offense that should find more opportunities downfield. Atlanta’s offensive struggles keep the total pointing downward, but the Packers have enough advantages to win by at least one touchdown.
Picks: Green Bay Packers ML, Packers -5.5 and Under 43.5
Carolina Panthers vs Cleveland Browns Picks
Carolina produced one of Week 2’s most convincing performances, combining improved pass protection with a 34-point offensive showing. Cleveland should offer more defensive resistance than Atlanta did, but the Browns have not demonstrated enough consistency on offense to be trusted in a close game. Carolina’s improving passing attack provides the clearest difference, while Cleveland’s defense should help keep the final score below the total.
Picks: Carolina Panthers ML, Panthers -2.5 and Under 42.5
Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers Picks
Cincinnati moved to 2-0 by holding Houston to six points, while Pittsburgh managed only three points in its loss to New England. Divisional road games are rarely easy, but the Bengals currently have the more reliable offense and a defense capable of forcing Pittsburgh into obvious passing situations. Cincinnati should gradually create separation, although the physical nature of the matchup favors the under.
Picks: Cincinnati Bengals ML, Bengals -3.5 and Under 42.5
Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts Picks
Houston’s offense has struggled to generate points through two games and managed only six against Cincinnati. Indianapolis showed considerably more offensive life while pushing Kansas City into overtime before losing 33-30. The Colts are catching a full field goal at home in a matchup that appears much closer than the market suggests. Houston’s defense could keep it competitive, but Indianapolis offers the better upset value.
Picks: Indianapolis Colts ML, Colts +3 and Under 42.5
Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins Picks
Kansas City has opened the season 2-0 and scored 33 points in its overtime win over Indianapolis. Miami remains winless and now faces a considerable step up in competition against a Chiefs team that can punish offensive mistakes. The number is large, but Kansas City should consistently win field position and force Miami to play from behind. The under remains attractive because the Dolphins may not contribute enough scoring to push the game past 46.5.
Picks: Kansas City Chiefs ML, Chiefs -11.5 and Under 46.5
Los Angeles Chargers vs Buffalo Bills Picks
Buffalo’s offense exploded for 41 points against Detroit and now returns home against a winless Chargers team. Los Angeles should produce enough offense to help this game reach the 50s, but keeping pace for four quarters is another matter. Buffalo has the more explosive attack, the stronger home-field advantage and the better ability to turn a competitive game into a comfortable victory late.
Picks: Buffalo Bills ML, Bills -7 and Over 50.5
New England Patriots vs Jacksonville Jaguars Picks
New England’s defense dominated Pittsburgh in a 20-3 victory and appears capable of disrupting a Jacksonville offense that has struggled to finish drives. The Jaguars are laying a full field goal despite entering the matchup without a win, creating value on the road underdog. New England’s defense and ability to control field position make the Patriots a live outright option in a lower-scoring game.
Picks: New England Patriots ML, Patriots +3 and Under 45.5
New York Jets vs Detroit Lions Picks
Detroit allowed 41 points to Buffalo and has surrendered too many explosive plays through the opening two weeks. The Lions should still score enough at home to defeat the Jets, but laying 6.5 points with their current defensive problems is difficult. New York competed with Green Bay into overtime and can remain within one possession. Detroit’s offensive strength and defensive vulnerability make the over the better total selection.
Picks: Detroit Lions ML, New York Jets +6.5 and Over 47.5
Seattle Seahawks vs Washington Commanders Picks
Seattle’s defense has controlled its first two opponents and now faces a Washington offense dealing with significant quarterback uncertainty. The Commanders allowed 37 points to Dallas last week, and Seattle has the defensive pressure and offensive balance required to capitalize on another poor performance. Washington may struggle to score enough to threaten either the spread or the total.
Picks: Seattle Seahawks ML, Seahawks -7 and Under 40.5
Tennessee Titans vs New York Giants Picks
Tennessee remains winless, but the Titans stayed competitive with Philadelphia in a 24-20 loss. New York was beaten 28-6 by the Rams and now enters Week 3 with additional uncertainty at quarterback. In a matchup between two struggling offenses, taking the points with Tennessee is preferable to trusting the Giants as a favorite. The Titans have a realistic opportunity to win outright in a defensive game.
Picks: Tennessee Titans ML, Titans +2.5 and Under 39.5
Arizona Cardinals vs San Francisco 49ers Picks
Arizona generated only 127 offensive yards in its Week 2 loss, which is a major concern before facing an undefeated San Francisco team. The 49ers scored 35 points against Miami and possess advantages throughout the matchup. San Francisco should control the game without needing an especially aggressive offensive approach, creating a path to both a comfortable victory and an under result.
Picks: San Francisco 49ers ML, 49ers -8.5 and Under 47.5
Minnesota Vikings vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Picks
Minnesota improved to 2-0 by holding Chicago to three points, giving the Vikings an early defensive identity that should travel well. Tampa Bay remains winless and has not shown enough offensive consistency to be favored against an undefeated opponent. Minnesota’s quarterback availability deserves monitoring, but the Vikings have the defense and rushing support needed to win a close, low-scoring game.
Picks: Minnesota Vikings ML, Vikings -1.5 and Under 42.5
Baltimore Ravens vs Dallas Cowboys Picks
Baltimore enters Week 3 winless after scoring only 17 points against New Orleans, while Dallas scored 37 in its victory over Washington. The Ravens remain dangerous enough to justify a close line, but Dallas has the offensive form and home-field advantage needed to win outright. Both defenses have shown vulnerabilities, and the combination of aggressive offenses makes the over playable despite the elevated total.
Picks: Dallas Cowboys ML, Cowboys +3.5 and Over 52.5
Las Vegas Raiders vs New Orleans Saints Picks
Las Vegas is undefeated, but New Orleans demonstrated its resilience by erasing an early deficit and defeating Baltimore 24-17. The Saints now return home with an offense capable of creating problems for a Raiders defense that has not yet faced this type of test. Las Vegas should contribute enough scoring to keep the game competitive, but New Orleans has the better matchup advantages late.
Picks: New Orleans Saints ML, Saints -3 and Over 44.5
Los Angeles Rams vs Denver Broncos Picks
Los Angeles responded to its opening loss by defeating the Giants 28-6, but playing Denver on the road presents a much more physical challenge. The Broncos’ defense and home-field advantage make them attractive as a short underdog in a matchup expected to remain within one possession. Denver can pressure the Rams without committing extra defenders, which should limit explosive plays and help keep the score below 45.5.
Picks: Denver Broncos ML, Broncos +2.5 and Under 45.5
Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears Picks
Philadelphia is 2-0 after surviving a competitive game against Tennessee, while Chicago remains winless and may be forced to start its backup quarterback. The Bears scored only three points against Minnesota and now face another defense capable of creating pressure without sacrificing coverage. Philadelphia should control the line of scrimmage and gradually separate, but Chicago’s offensive limitations point toward the under.
Picks: Philadelphia Eagles ML, Eagles -4.5 and Under 41.5
NFL Picks Record Regular Season
| Category | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall NFL Picks | 48-48 |
| Moneyline Picks | 20-12 |
| ATS Picks | 12-20 |
| Total Picks | 16-16 |
| Best Bets | 1-1 |
The regular-season record begins at 0-0 and will be updated after the completion of Week 1.
NFL Preseason Picks Record
| Category | Record |
|---|---|
| Overall NFL Picks | 32-18-1 |
| Moneyline Picks | 9-8-0 |
| ATS Picks | 8-8-1 |
| Total Picks | 15-2-0 |
| Best Bets | 0-2 |
The record will begin with the 2026 NFL preseason and will be updated after each completed slate.It will be updated to regular season picks only after the preseason is completed.
How to Bet on NFL Games
The three most popular NFL betting markets are the moneyline, point spread, and game total. Each market provides a different way to wager on a game depending on where you believe the best betting value exists.
A moneyline wager is a bet on which team will win the game outright. The final margin does not matter. Favorites normally come with a higher price, while an underdog moneyline offers a larger potential return.
ATS stands for “against the spread.” The favorite must win by more than the listed point spread to cover, while the underdog can cover by winning outright or losing by fewer points than the spread. If the final margin lands directly on the listed number, the wager is normally graded as a push.
A total wager focuses on the combined number of points scored by both teams. Bettors can select the over if they expect the teams to combine for more points than the posted total or the under if they anticipate a lower-scoring contest.
What We Consider When Making NFL Picks
Our NFL picks are focused on identifying betting value rather than simply selecting the most recognisable team or obvious favourite. We evaluate quarterback play, offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, turnover margin, injuries, home-field advantage, scheduling situations, coaching tendencies, weather conditions, and how sportsbooks are pricing each matchup.
During the preseason, we place additional importance on quarterback rotations, projected playing time, roster depth, coaching approach, and the number of established starters expected to participate. Preseason results are less predictable because winning the game is not always a team’s primary objective.
The process changes during the playoffs, when teams shorten their rotations and every possession carries greater importance. Regardless of the point in the season, the goal remains the same: finding a wager where the available odds may not fully reflect the most likely outcome.
NFL Betting Tips
Shopping for the best available line is one of the simplest ways to improve your long-term NFL betting results. A half-point difference may not appear significant, but it can determine whether a point-spread or total wager wins, loses, or pushes.
It is also important to distinguish between predicting a winner and identifying betting value. A team may be likely to win without offering value at its current moneyline or point spread. Likewise, an underdog can be a worthwhile wager even when it is not expected to win outright.
Remain disciplined with your wager sizes and avoid dramatically increasing your stakes after a loss. Successful sports betting is based on making consistent decisions over an entire season rather than trying to win every wager.
NFL Preseason Betting
NFL preseason games require a different approach from regular-season contests. Star players may appear for only a few drives or remain on the sideline for the entire game. Backup quarterbacks, rookies, and players competing for roster spots can determine the final result.
Coaches also have different preseason priorities. Some place greater emphasis on winning, while others focus almost exclusively on player evaluation and installing their systems. Projected quarterback rotations and roster depth can therefore be more useful than a team’s previous regular-season record.
Betting lines may move quickly when information about playing time becomes public. Waiting for reliable reports can provide valuable information, although it may also mean accepting a less favourable number.
NFL Regular-Season Betting
Regular-season NFL betting offers more dependable information about team strength, personnel, coaching tendencies, and player roles. However, bettors should avoid reacting too strongly to one result, particularly during the opening weeks.
Matchups are often more important than overall records. A strong team may encounter difficulties against an opponent whose defensive scheme or offensive style exposes a specific weakness. Travel, rest, weather, injuries, and changes along the offensive line can also influence the betting value.
Because NFL point spreads and totals move throughout the week, the number attached to a wager is just as important as the team being selected.
NFL Playoff Betting
The NFL playoffs feature stronger competition and increased public betting interest. Sportsbooks have extensive information about every remaining team, which can make obvious value more difficult to find.
Home-field advantage, quarterback experience, defensive pressure, weather, and late-game execution become particularly important during elimination games. Bettors should also consider how each team’s style matches up against its opponent rather than relying solely on its regular-season record.
The Super Bowl presents an additional challenge because of the two-week break, neutral venue, increased media attention, and expanded selection of betting markets.
Responsible Gambling Reminder
Sports betting should always be treated as entertainment rather than guaranteed income. Only wager what you can comfortably afford to lose, establish reasonable limits, and never chase losses.
If betting stops being enjoyable or begins causing financial or emotional stress, take a break and seek assistance. Responsible gambling is more important than the outcome of any individual wager.
NFL Picks FAQ
Are these NFL picks updated every week?
Yes. We update this page throughout the NFL preseason, regular season, and playoffs with moneyline picks, ATS picks, total picks, and our best bet.
Do you provide picks for every NFL game?
Yes. Whenever a complete NFL slate is available, we aim to provide picks and analysis for every scheduled game.
What is the best NFL bet this week?
Our favourite wager is featured in the NFL Best Bet of the Week section near the top of the page. The selection may be a moneyline, point spread, total, or another widely available betting market.
Do you track your NFL betting record?
Yes. We maintain running records for our overall NFL picks, moneyline selections, ATS picks, totals, and best bets.
What does ATS mean in NFL betting?
ATS stands for “against the spread.” Instead of merely selecting the winner, you are wagering on whether a team will cover the point spread established by the sportsbook.
What does NFL moneyline mean?
An NFL moneyline wager is a bet on which team will win the game outright. The winning margin does not matter, but favourites and underdogs are offered at different prices.
What is an NFL total?
The total is the projected number of combined points for both teams. Bettors can wager on whether the final combined score will finish over or under that number.
Do you provide NFL preseason picks?
Yes. Our NFL coverage begins with the preseason and continues through the Super Bowl. Because preseason playing time can be unpredictable, we wait for reliable quarterback rotation and personnel information whenever possible.
When should I place an NFL bet?
That depends on the market. Betting early may help you secure a favourable line, while waiting can provide more information about injuries, weather, and projected player availability. Always compare the latest odds before placing a wager.
What is the best way to bet on NFL games?
Most NFL bettors focus on moneylines, point spreads, and totals. The key is identifying value, comparing odds, managing your bankroll, and remaining disciplined throughout the season.
More Free Football Picks
Are you looking for more predictions? Check out our free football picks covering the biggest games from across the sport.
Interested in Canadian football? Visit our free CFL picks for weekly moneyline, ATS, total, and best-bet predictions.
College football more your jam? Check out our free college football picks throughout the regular season, conference championships, and bowl schedule.
If you want to keep up with the latest news and trade rumors then check out the NFL website.
