Washington visits Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis at 7:00 p.m. ET on NBA League Pass, subject to local restrictions. Indiana is favored by 4.5 and the total is 226.5. Both teams scored well enough to win Monday but gave up too much at the other end. See the full NBA slate.
Washington Has to Keep Indiana From Running Off Mistakes
The Wizards are 4-7 and 2-5 on the road after losing 122-111 at Detroit. That was a better scoring night than Saturday’s 75 at Oklahoma City, but Washington still couldn’t get enough stops to put real pressure on Detroit late.
Washington averages 108.1 points and allows 113.4. It can keep this close if it gets into its offense early and forces Indiana to defend the entire possession. Live-ball turnovers would undermine both the spread and the under by giving the Pacers points before Washington can set its defense.
Anthony Davis scored 44 at Detroit. Indiana has to respect what he can do on a deep catch, which makes the next pass important. Washington has a better chance to cover if Davis’ touches lead to good shots for teammates instead of requiring another 40-point night.
Indiana Can Create Late Without Playing Fast
The Pacers are 3-8 and 0-5 at home after losing 125-122 at Dallas. They scored 20 more than they did against Denver in Mexico City on Saturday. That’s encouraging, but it hasn’t translated into enough wins to make me comfortable laying multiple possessions.
Indiana averages 111.4 points and allows 115.2. The Pacers have a better chance to control this game if they finish their defensive rebounds and get Washington guarding a second action. They don’t need to chase Dallas’ pace to win this one.
Pascal Siakam scored 29 at Dallas, and Andrew Nembhard had eight assists against Denver. With Tyrese Haliburton out in the early report, Indiana needs Nembhard to set the table and Siakam to create when Washington takes away the first option.
Wizards vs Pacers Team Comparison
| Metric | Washington | Indiana |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 4-7 | 3-8 |
| Road / home | 2-5 road | 0-5 home |
| Points scored / allowed per game | 108.1 / 113.4 | 111.4 / 115.2 |
| Monday result | Lost 122-111 at Detroit | Lost 125-122 at Dallas |
Wizards vs Pacers Head-to-Head
| Date | Result | Combined points |
|---|---|---|
| February 20, 2026 | Washington 131, Indiana 118 | 249 |
| February 19, 2026 | Washington 112, Indiana 105 | 217 |
Washington won both February meetings, but the totals were 32 points apart. I put more weight on how these offenses are scoring now than on either old total.
Wizards vs Pacers Position-by-Position
| Position | Washington | Indiana | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| PG | Trae Young can create from high screens | Nembhard brings steadier organization | Even |
| SG | Needs quick shots off Davis’ passes | Can cut behind help sent at Siakam | Indiana |
| SF | Kyshawn George gives Washington another initiator | Must close out without giving up the drive | Washington |
| PF | Davis can force help at the rim | Siakam can score before the help arrives | Washington inside |
| C | Needs to finish possessions on the glass | Ivica Zubac can create second chances | Indiana |
Washington Wizards vs Indiana Pacers Picks and Prediction
Spread Pick: Washington +4.5
I lean Indiana outright, but Davis gives Washington a way to stay within 4.5 even when its jumpers aren’t falling. Indiana can beat the number by turning Washington mistakes into transition points. In a game played mostly against set defenses, I want the points.
Total Pick: Under 226.5
Monday’s scores make the over tempting, but these teams average 219.5 points combined on offense. I expect Washington to spend more time setting up Davis and Indiana to work through Siakam instead of trading quick shots. I project Indiana 113, Washington 110.
Final Picks: Washington +4.5 and Under 226.5.
Completed November 10, 2026. Lines and player availability can change before tipoff.