Indiana visits Dallas at American Airlines Center at 8:00 p.m. ET. Dallas-area coverage includes KFAA and MavsTV. Indiana last played Saturday in Mexico City, while Dallas hosts the second game of a back-to-back. At the time of this writing the spread and total odds were not released on the verified board used here. See our NBA picks.
Indiana Can Make Dallas Defend Longer Possessions
The Pacers are 3-7 and 3-2 in true road games. They lost 114-102 to Denver at a neutral site on Saturday after beating Memphis 107-103 on Wednesday. They’ve been more competitive away from home than the overall record suggests.
Indiana averages 110.3 points and allows 114.2. It can stay close if it attacks Dallas before a second defender is ready, then swings the ball quickly when the help comes. Slow possessions that end with an isolated jumper favor Dallas.
Pascal Siakam scored 23 against Denver, and Andrew Nembhard had eight assists. With Tyrese Haliburton out in the early report, Indiana needs Nembhard to organize the offense and Siakam to give it somewhere to go when Dallas takes away the first pass.
Dallas Can Get Inside Without Making This a Fast Game
Dallas was 5-4 and 3-2 at home entering Sunday’s Brooklyn game. It beat Utah 112-100 on Friday and won the first meeting with Indiana 121-105 in October. Monday is a different spot because the Mavericks have less rest.
Before Sunday, Dallas averaged 112.1 points and allowed 110.9. The Mavericks can put pressure on Indiana by getting downhill early and giving their bigger wings room to cut. They need to finish defensive rebounds, because repeated second chances would give Indiana a way around its uneven half-court scoring.
P.J. Washington scored 26 against Utah. That matters if Indiana puts extra attention on Dallas’ primary ball handlers. Washington can turn a quick pass into a drive or a clean shot instead of letting the Pacers reset their defense. Check Dallas’ Monday availability after the Brooklyn game.
Pacers vs Mavericks Team Comparison
| Category | Indiana | Dallas |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 | 5-4 before Sunday |
| Road / home | 3-2 road | 3-2 home before Sunday |
| Points scored / allowed | 110.3 / 114.2 | 112.1 / 110.9 |
| First meeting | Lost 121-105 | Won 121-105 |
Pacers vs Mavericks Position-by-Position
| Position | Indiana | Dallas | Projected edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| PG | Nembhard can control the first action | Can pressure him and force another creator to initiate | Even |
| SG | Needs quick decisions on kickouts | Can find open looks off paint touches | Dallas |
| SF | Must track cutters after helping | Size helps on cuts and closeouts | Dallas |
| PF | Siakam creates in the midrange and on the move | Washington can score without holding the ball | Indiana |
| C | Ivica Zubac can keep possessions alive | Needs to finish the defensive rebound | Even |
Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks Picks and Prediction
Side Pick: Dallas to Win
I lean Dallas because its size should create more easy points around the rim. Indiana’s road record and rest edge make it a closer game than the October result suggests. Dallas is the projected winner, with no ATS pick at the cutoff.
Total Pick: Pending
I project Dallas 113, Indiana 109. A higher score would likely come from Indiana forcing turnovers and Dallas answering with efficient interior scoring. If Dallas controls the clock and limits second chances, the game can finish lower. I’m waiting for a verified total.
Final Picks: Dallas to win. Spread and total pending.
Completed November 8, 2026. Dallas’ statistical snapshot predates Sunday’s game. Lines and player availability can change before tipoff.