Atlanta visits Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Monday at 7:30 p.m. ET. Indiana returns immediately after Sunday’s loss to Brooklyn, while the Hawks have the rest advantage. Our selections use Atlanta -2.5 and a total of 236.5; other books have posted substantially different numbers.
Follow our NBA picks and predictions throughout the season.
Hawks vs Pacers Game Information
| Date and Time | Monday, November 2, 2026 — 7:30 p.m. ET |
|---|---|
| Arena | Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, Indiana |
| Spread and Total Used | Atlanta -2.5; 236.5 |
Atlanta Can Make Indiana Uncomfortable With the Ball
Atlanta is 3-4 overall and 2-2 on the road. Saturday’s 121-99 loss to New Orleans interrupted the Hawks’ attempt to regain momentum. They now face an opponent whose available rotation has been stretched further by playing Sunday.
The Hawks average 116.3 points and allow 115.4. Their pressure has forced 18.3 turnovers per 100 possessions. That is useful against an Indiana team missing established ball handlers, although Atlanta must avoid allowing easy baskets when the Pacers break the initial pressure.
Jalen Johnson is listed day-to-day with an ankle issue, and Jock Landale has a hip concern. Johnson’s status is particularly important to Atlanta’s ability to connect possessions and attack a rotating defense. This side selection assumes the Hawks avoid a major additional downgrade.
Indiana Has Fewer Options to Repair Its Offense
Indiana fell to 2-5 overall and 0-3 at home after losing 98-90 to Brooklyn on Sunday. The Pacers have lost four straight, and their latest performance showed how difficult scoring can become with the current absences.
Before Sunday, Indiana averaged 116.7 points and allowed 119.8. Those figures describe a healthier and more productive stretch than the offense showed against Brooklyn. A second game in two nights makes assuming an immediate return to normal production risky.
Tyrese Haliburton, Ivica Zubac and T.J. McConnell remain listed out. Aaron Nesmith and Obi Toppin also carry day-to-day designations. Losing creation, interior finishing and depth together leaves Indiana more dependent on efficient first actions and careful possession management.
Hawks vs Pacers Situational Comparison
| Category | Atlanta | Indiana |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-4 | 2-5 |
| Location Split | 2-2 road | 0-3 home |
| Sunday Result | Did not play | Lost 98-90 |
| Rest | One day off | Back-to-back |
Hawks vs Pacers Picks and Predictions
Spread Pick: Atlanta Hawks -2.5
Atlanta’s rest advantage and ability to pressure the ball give it the stronger position. Indiana can compete if its remaining creators keep turnovers down, but the Pacers have less margin for another inefficient offensive night. Johnson’s availability is the main concern for Atlanta. The selection is specifically -2.5; laying 5.5 would materially reduce its appeal.
Total Pick: Under 236.5
Indiana’s depleted offense and Sunday’s 90-point output support the under at this number. Atlanta’s pace and defensive inconsistency are the counterarguments, particularly if the game becomes a turnover-driven exchange. I still expect enough stalled Indiana possessions to keep the combined score below 236.5. Projection: Atlanta 117, Indiana 111.
Final Prediction
| Moneyline | Atlanta |
|---|---|
| ATS | Atlanta -2.5 |
| Total | Under 236.5 |
| Projected Score | Atlanta 117, Indiana 111 |
Final Picks: Atlanta -2.5 and Under 236.5.
Prepared for November 2, 2026. Lines vary considerably by sportsbook. Final availability may change the analysis.
