Seattle Seahawks collage featuring Lumen Field, the team mascot, fans, and home, Action Green, and throwback uniforms.

Chicago Bears vs. Seattle Seahawks Picks and Prediction for Monday, November 2, 2026

The Chicago Bears visit the Seattle Seahawks at Lumen Field on Monday, November 2, 2026. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET, with ESPN carrying the Monday Night Football broadcast.

Seattle is currently favored by three points, while the total is 46.5. The Seahawks are coming off a 20-3 defensive clinic against Kansas City. Chicago has won two straight after beating New England 30-24 last Thursday.

The early weather outlook calls for a dry, mostly cloudy evening with temperatures around 47 to 49 degrees, winds near 3 to 4 mph, and little chance of rain. Lumen Field is an outdoor stadium, but the conditions should not create a meaningful disadvantage for either offense or force bettors away from the total.

Find more analysis and predictions on our free NFL picks page throughout the season.

Bears vs. Seahawks Game Information

Category Information
Matchup Chicago Bears at Seattle Seahawks
Date Monday, November 2, 2026
Kickoff 8:15 p.m. ET
Venue Lumen Field
Location Seattle, Washington
Television ESPN
Playing Surface Outdoor field
Weather Outlook Mostly cloudy, approximately 47-49°F
Wind Approximately 3-4 mph
Precipitation Around 5%
Best Bet Seattle Seahawks -3
Predicted Score Seahawks 24, Bears 17

Bears vs. Seahawks Betting Odds

Team Moneyline Point Spread Total
Chicago Bears +148 +3 (-102) Over 46.5 (-114)
Seattle Seahawks -176 -3 (-120) Under 46.5 (-106)

Odds are subject to change before kickoff.

Bears vs. Seahawks Team Comparison

Category Chicago Bears Seattle Seahawks
Overall Record 5-2 4-3
Relevant Split 2-1 Road 3-1 Home
Points Per Game 25.7 24.0
Points Allowed Per Game 20.4 17.9
Total Offense Per Game 390.7 yards 343.3 yards
Passing Offense Per Game 254.9 yards 246.6 yards
Rushing Offense Per Game 154.3 yards 113.7 yards
Total Defense Per Game 313.4 yards allowed 233.3 yards allowed
Offensive Third Downs 44.0% 38.9%
Defensive Third Downs 26.1% allowed 28.0% allowed
Defensive Sacks 19 16
Turnover Differential -1 -1

Offensive Leaders

Category Chicago Bears Seattle Seahawks
Passing Caleb Williams: 1,020 yards, 5 TD, 1 INT Sam Darnold: 1,290 yards, 8 TD, 8 INT
Rushing D’Andre Swift: 476 yards, 7 TD Emanuel Wilson: 403 yards, 3 TD
Receiving Luther Burden III: 491 yards, 2 TD Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 867 yards, 8 TD

Chicago Bears Bring an Improving Offense to Seattle

Chicago enters the matchup at 5-2 overall and 2-1 on the road. The Bears have won consecutive games, defeating Atlanta 31-23 before handling New England 30-24 on Thursday night. The extra recovery time matters because Chicago will have 11 days between games before traveling to Seattle.

The offense has generated 390.7 yards per game, including 154.3 on the ground. Caleb Williams has completed 71% of his passes for 1,020 yards, five touchdowns, and one interception. He threw for 308 yards against New England and has played his cleanest football since returning to the lineup. D’Andre Swift has added 476 rushing yards and seven touchdowns, while Luther Burden III leads the team with 491 receiving yards.

Chicago’s defensive numbers are more complicated. The Bears have held opponents to 20.4 points per game and have recorded 19 sacks, but they have allowed 8.7 yards per completed pass and remain vulnerable to explosive plays. Chicago uses pressure and disruption to compensate for those issues. That approach can create turnovers, but it also leaves the secondary exposed when the blitz does not reach the quarterback.

Seattle Seahawks Have Built One of the NFL’s Best Defenses

Seattle is 4-3 overall with a 3-1 record at Lumen Field. The Seahawks delivered their best performance of the season against Kansas City, holding the Chiefs to three points, 213 yards, and one field goal. Seattle’s offense did not need to chase the game because its defense controlled it from the opening quarter.

The Seahawks are allowing 17.9 points and roughly 233 yards per game. Opponents have averaged only 3.5 yards per rushing attempt, and Seattle has surrendered just 1,011 net passing yards through seven games. The defense has also intercepted eight passes and held opponents to a 28% conversion rate on third down.

Seattle’s offense remains less dependable. Sam Darnold has thrown eight touchdowns and eight interceptions, and the offensive line has allowed too much pressure. However, Jaxon Smith-Njigba has developed into the matchup’s most dangerous individual weapon. He has caught 58 passes for 867 yards and eight touchdowns, averaging 15 yards per reception. Seattle does not need Darnold to carry the entire offense if Smith-Njigba creates two or three explosive gains and the defense continues controlling field position.

Head-to-Head Position Comparison

Position Group Chicago Bears Seattle Seahawks Advantage
Quarterback Caleb Williams has a 5-to-1 TD-to-INT ratio and 105.6 passer rating Sam Darnold has eight touchdowns and eight interceptions Bears
Running Back D’Andre Swift leads a 154.3-yard rushing offense Emanuel Wilson leads a thinner Seattle backfield Bears
Wide Receiver Luther Burden III and Rome Odunze provide depth Jaxon Smith-Njigba has 867 yards and eight touchdowns Seahawks
Tight End Cole Kmet is on injured reserve; Colston Loveland moves into a larger role Seattle has limited production and availability concerns Even
Offensive Line Chicago has allowed 18 sacks Seattle has allowed 16 sacks but has struggled with pressure Even
Defensive Front Chicago has produced 19 sacks through aggressive pressure Seattle allows only 3.5 yards per rush Seahawks
Linebackers Chicago has multiple availability concerns Seattle’s speed supports an elite overall defense Seahawks
Secondary Chicago can be vulnerable to explosive passes Seattle has eight interceptions and ranks first in net passing defense Seahawks
Special Teams Chicago has been generally stable Seattle’s coverage units have been excellent Seahawks
Home Field Chicago is 2-1 on the road Seattle is 3-1 at Lumen Field Seahawks

Injury and Availability Report

Because this is a Monday night game, the official practice reports will not be complete until later in the week. These are the most important early availability concerns as of October 28.

Chicago Bears

Player Position Injury/Status Potential Impact
Cole Kmet TE Injured reserve, knee Removes a dependable middle-of-field target
Kyle Monangai RB Thumb/toe concern Could reduce Chicago’s backfield depth
Jack Sanborn LB Concussion concern Important against Seattle’s running game
T.J. Edwards LB Hamstring concern Would weaken Chicago’s second level
Tyrique Stevenson CB Hip concern Relevant against Smith-Njigba and Seattle’s receivers

Seattle Seahawks

Player Position Injury/Status Potential Impact
Zach Charbonnet RB Knee concern Seattle may again rely heavily on Emanuel Wilson
Rashid Shaheed WR Knee concern Removes speed from the passing game if unavailable
Elijah Arroyo TE Shoulder concern Further reduces Seattle’s receiving depth
Jadarian Price RB Injured reserve, chest Leaves the Seahawks thin at running back
Drew Lock QB Elbow concern Important if Darnold is forced from the game
Uchenna Nwosu LB Hip concern Affects Seattle’s edge rotation
Nick Emmanwori DB Hip concern Could influence coverage packages against Chicago

Recent Form

Team Week 6 Week 7 Current Streak
Chicago Bears Beat Atlanta 31-23 Beat New England 30-24 Won 2
Seattle Seahawks Lost to Denver 23-17 Beat Kansas City 20-3 Won 1

Chicago has the longer winning streak and additional rest. Seattle owns the more impressive recent performance. Holding Kansas City to three points carries more weight than Chicago’s six-point home win over New England, especially when evaluating which defense is more likely to control Monday night.

Bears Offense vs. Seahawks Defense

Chicago’s rushing production is the biggest threat to the Seattle pick. The Bears average more than 154 rushing yards per game, and Swift has already scored seven touchdowns. Seattle, however, has allowed only 3.5 yards per rushing attempt. If the Seahawks keep Chicago behind the sticks, Williams will have to repeatedly convert against a defense allowing opponents to succeed on only 28% of third downs.

Seattle can also challenge Williams with disguised coverage. The Chicago quarterback has protected the football exceptionally well, but the Seahawks lead this matchup with eight interceptions. Williams cannot assume that the coverage he sees before the snap will remain the same after the ball is snapped.

Seahawks Offense vs. Bears Defense

Seattle’s offensive line remains the concern. Chicago has recorded 19 sacks and uses one of the league’s more aggressive pressure packages. Darnold has already thrown eight interceptions, so Seattle cannot afford to turn this into a game in which he attempts 40 passes while constantly working against the blitz.

The answer is Smith-Njigba. Chicago’s defense has been vulnerable to explosive passes, while Seattle’s leading receiver averages 15 yards per catch. Quick throws, motion, and play-action should give Darnold opportunities to find him without holding the ball against Chicago’s pressure.

Head-to-Head History

Seattle leads the overall series 12-8, including postseason meetings. Chicago has won two of the last three matchups, but Seattle earned a 6-3 victory in the most recent meeting on December 26, 2024.

The recent history is not especially predictive because both teams have changed significantly. The useful part is that the last meeting became a low-scoring defensive game, which fits the strengths of this Seattle team and supports another play on the under.

Keys to the Game

Seattle Must Control Chicago’s Running Game

Swift and Williams give Chicago multiple ways to run the football. If Seattle limits early-down rushing gains, the Seahawks can force Chicago into obvious passing situations and unleash their pressure packages.

Chicago Must Create Short Fields

The Bears are unlikely to consistently drive the length of the field against Seattle. Their best path is generating sacks, forcing Darnold into turnovers, and giving Williams short fields.

Seattle Must Protect Sam Darnold

Darnold does not need to produce a spectacular statistical performance. He needs to avoid negative plays, get the football to Smith-Njigba, and let Seattle’s defense control the game.

Explosive Passes Could Decide the Cover

Chicago has allowed too many chunk gains through the air. One long Smith-Njigba touchdown could be the difference between Seattle merely winning and covering the three-point spread.

Chicago Bears vs. Seattle Seahawks Prediction

Chicago is good enough to make this competitive. The Bears can run the football, Williams has protected it well, and the additional preparation time is a genuine advantage.

Seattle still owns the two most important advantages: defense and location. The Seahawks have allowed nearly 80 fewer yards per game than Chicago, just held Kansas City to three points, and have won three of four games at Lumen Field.

Seattle’s offense may not pull away early, but the defense should create enough favorable field position for the Seahawks to build a second-half lead. Chicago will have trouble sustaining long drives once Seattle limits the running game.

Predicted Score: Seattle Seahawks 24, Chicago Bears 17

Best Bet: Seattle Seahawks -3

Seattle -3 is the strongest play on the Week 8 card. The Seahawks have the NFL’s best statistical yardage defense, allow only 17.9 points per game, and enter after shutting down Kansas City.

Chicago’s 5-2 record deserves respect, and its rushing attack is the primary counterargument. The Bears have also had additional preparation time. Even so, their offense has not faced many defenses capable of matching Seattle’s speed, coverage disguise, and third-down efficiency.

The difference between -3 and -3.5 matters. At the current three-point line, a Seattle victory by a field goal produces a push instead of a loss. The value becomes less attractive if the market moves back above the key number.

Total Pick: Under 46.5

Seattle has allowed 125 points through seven games, and its defensive performance against Kansas City was not a fluke. The Seahawks rank near the top of the league in total defense, passing defense, interceptions, rushing efficiency, and third-down stops.

Chicago has scored at least 30 points in two straight games, but Seattle represents a major defensive upgrade. The Bears should also lean on their running game, which keeps the clock moving.

The danger is Seattle creating short fields through turnovers. Even then, a game in the range of 24-17 or 23-20 remains below 46.5.

Final Picks: Seattle Seahawks -3 and Under 46.5

This preview was completed on October 28, 2026. Betting lines, weather forecasts, and player availability can change before kickoff.

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