Toronto Blue Jays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction & Preview – August 20, 2025

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The Toronto Blue Jays and Pittsburgh Pirates wrap up their midweek series on Wednesday afternoon at PNC Park. First pitch is set for 12:35 PM ET, with Toronto sending veteran right-hander Chris Bassitt to the mound against Pirates’ righty Johan Oviedo. The Blue Jays enter as road favorites, priced around -160, while the total is listed at 8.5 runs.

Team Analysis

Toronto Blue Jays

The Blue Jays remain locked in the thick of the AL playoff race, and Chris Bassitt has been a steady anchor in their rotation. His mix of sinkers and cutters keeps hitters off balance, and he’s quietly been one of Toronto’s most reliable arms. Offensively, Toronto leans heavily on Bo Bichette and Vladimir Guerrero Jr., both of whom have started to find their power strokes after slow starts. The Jays’ lineup has been streaky this season, but against a hittable Pirates staff, they’ll look to capitalize.

Pittsburgh Pirates

Pittsburgh has been one of MLB’s trickiest teams to evaluate. At home, they’ve shown flashes of promise, particularly with young talents like Oneil Cruz and Ke’Bryan Hayes leading the charge. Johan Oviedo, however, has struggled with command and tends to give up hard contact when behind in counts. The Pirates’ bullpen has been heavily taxed in recent weeks, which could put added pressure on Oviedo to deliver length.

Matchup Breakdown

The key factor here is pitching stability. Bassitt has a proven track record of handling lineups and navigating traffic, while Oviedo has struggled to find consistency. Toronto’s deeper bullpen and stronger top of the order should give them an edge in the later innings. The Pirates may need early production from Cruz and Hayes to avoid falling behind quickly.

Best Bets

  • Pick: Toronto Blue Jays ML (-160) – Bassitt gives them a reliable edge, and the Jays’ offense should find chances against Oviedo.
  • Total Pick: Over 8.5 – Both lineups are capable of runs, and with a day game at PNC, the ball tends to travel a bit better.
  • Player Prop: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to record an RBI – Guerrero has heated up at the plate and matches up well against Oviedo’s fastball-heavy approach.

Prediction

This feels like a spot where Toronto should handle business. The Jays’ veterans provide more stability in both lineup and rotation, while Pittsburgh remains volatile from game to game.

Final Score Prediction: Blue Jays 6, Pirates 4

Author

  • Corey Clarkson is a seasoned sports journalist and analyst with a passion for telling the stories behind the stats. With years of experience covering everything from the NFL playoffs to the World Cup, Corey’s insight bridges hard data with the human side of sports. His work dives deep into game strategy, player performance, and league trends—helping readers not just follow sports, but truly understand them. Whether it’s breaking down a crucial fourth-quarter play, analyzing a blockbuster trade, or exploring the culture around the game, Corey delivers content that informs, entertains, and sparks conversation.

    Corey has attended major sporting events across the world, interviewed professional athletes and coaches, and built a reputation for sharp, unbiased reporting. His goal is to bring fans closer to the action, whether they’re at the stadium, watching from home, or reading along.

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