Toronto Blue Jays vs. Miami Marlins Game Preview – August 23, 2025

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The Toronto Blue Jays face the Miami Marlins in the second game of their three-game series on Saturday, August 23, 2025, at 4:10 PM EDT at loanDepot park in Miami. After a close 5-4 Blue Jays win in the series opener, this interleague matchup promises intensity as Toronto aims to maintain their edge while Miami fights to even the series. Fans seeking a winning edge can rely on this expert preview, featuring player insights, pitching matchups, and a prediction—unlock more game-changing tips with our exclusive MLB strategies now!

Toronto Blue Jays

  • 2025 Record (as of August 22): 74-54, 1st in AL East
  • Performance Overview: The Blue Jays are 6-4 in their last 10 games, with a .267 batting average and 3.88 ERA. Their offense, averaging 4.9 runs/game, is led by Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s .298 BA and 21 HRs, though injuries to key players like Bo Bichette (day-to-day, calf) test their depth.
  • Strengths: Elite on-base percentage (.337, 1st in MLB) and a strong road record (33-33).
  • Weaknesses: Occasional bullpen inconsistency (4.05 ERA in August) and injury concerns.
  • Player to Watch: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (1B) – His .298 BA and 30 doubles make him a consistent threat, especially after a 2-for-4 night in the opener.

Miami Marlins

  • 2025 Record (as of August 22): 60-67, 3rd in NL East
  • Performance Overview: The Marlins are struggling, with a 3-7 record in their last 10 games, batting .239 with a 4.98 ERA. Their offense averages 4.1 runs/game, led by Xavier Edwards’ .299 BA, but their pitching staff is depleted by injuries to players like Braxton Garrett and Ryan Weathers.
  • Strengths: Speedy lineup (48-23 when recording 8+ hits) and home-field resilience (29-33).
  • Weaknesses: Weak pitching (4.98 ERA recently) and multiple injuries (9 players on IL).
  • Player to Watch: Xavier Edwards (SS) – His .299 BA and speed (28 SB) make him a sparkplug, critical for a comeback.

Head-to-Head Record

  • Historical Context: This is the first series between the Blue Jays and Marlins in 2025, with Toronto winning the opener 5-4 on August 22. Historically, Toronto has won 5 straight against Miami since 2021.
  • Recent Encounter: On August 22, 2025, the Blue Jays edged the Marlins 5-4, with George Springer’s 2-run homer and Shane Bieber’s 6 innings outpacing Miami’s late rally.
  • Key Insight: Toronto’s offensive consistency and pitching depth give them an edge, but Miami’s speed and home-field tenacity could keep it close.

Pitching Matchups Table

Team Pitcher Record ERA Innings Pitched Strikeouts WHIP
Blue Jays José Berríos (RHP) 9-5 4.00 148.1 121 1.25
Marlins Roddery Muñoz (RHP) 2-7 5.88 78.0 67 1.52

Strengths and Negatives of Pitchers

  • José Berríos (Blue Jays)
    • Strengths: Reliable innings-eater (148.1 IP) with a strong strikeout rate (7.3 K/9) and a career 1.37 ERA against Miami, including a 7-inning shutout in 2019.
    • Negatives: Recent inconsistency (4.00 ERA) and occasional home run issues (1.1 HR/9) could be exploited by Edwards or Jake Burger.
  • Roddery Muñoz (Marlins)
    • Strengths: Decent strikeout ability (7.7 K/9) and flashes of potential in home starts (4.50 ERA at loanDepot park).
    • Negatives: High 5.88 ERA and 1.52 WHIP indicate struggles with control, vulnerable to Toronto’s high-OBP lineup.

Key Players to Monitor

  • Toronto Blue Jays:
    • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (1B): .298 BA, 21 HRs, a consistent power and contact threat.
    • George Springer (RF): 21 HRs, 2-for-4 with a homer in the opener, thriving in clutch spots.
    • Ernie Clement (3B): .277 BA, 9 HRs, adds depth with a 7-for-18 stretch.
  • Miami Marlins:
    • Xavier Edwards (SS): .299 BA, 28 SB, a leadoff catalyst with speed.
    • Jake Burger (1B): 29 HRs, .462 SLG, a power threat despite a .246 BA.
    • Otto Lopez (2B): .240 BA, 11 HRs, hit .333 in last 10 games.

Recent Performance

  • Toronto Blue Jays: At 74-54, the Blue Jays are 6-4 in their last 10, outscoring opponents 48-39, with their offense and bullpen clicking in the opener.
  • Miami Marlins: At 60-67, the Marlins are 3-7 in their last 10, scoring 41 runs while allowing 49, hampered by pitching injuries.

Critical Factors

  • Venue: loanDepot park’s pitcher-friendly dimensions (3.90 park ERA) favor Berríos but may limit Toronto’s power.
  • Weather: Indoors at loanDepot park, ensuring consistent conditions with no weather impact.
  • Momentum: Toronto’s series-opening win and historical edge (5 straight vs. Miami) contrast with the Marlins’ 3-7 skid.
  • Betting Odds: Blue Jays favored at -163, with over/under at 8.0, reflecting Toronto’s offensive edge and Miami’s pitching woes.

Prediction

The Toronto Blue Jays are poised to take this game, leveraging Berríos’ strong track record against Miami and their league-leading .337 OBP against Muñoz’s 5.88 ERA. The Marlins’ speed, led by Edwards, could generate early runs, but their depleted pitching staff and recent struggles (3-7) make a comeback unlikely. Toronto’s bullpen should hold firm, with Guerrero Jr. and Springer driving the offense.

Final Prediction: Toronto Blue Jays win, 6-3. Guerrero Jr. delivers a key hit, and Berríos cruises through six innings.

Best Bets

  • Moneyline: Toronto Blue Jays (-163) – Berríos’ dominance and Toronto’s offensive edge make them a safe pick.
  • Over 8.0 Runs – Toronto’s 4.9 runs/game and Miami’s weak pitching suggest a potential for runs.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to Record an RBI (+150) – His .298 BA and hot bat offer strong value against Muñoz.

This preview, based on the latest trends and stats as of August 22, 2025, delivers expert, trustworthy, and engaging content for MLB fans. Watch live on Sportsnet or FanDuel Sports Network Florida.

Author

  • Corey Clarkson is a seasoned sports journalist and analyst with a passion for telling the stories behind the stats. With years of experience covering everything from the NFL playoffs to the World Cup, Corey’s insight bridges hard data with the human side of sports. His work dives deep into game strategy, player performance, and league trends—helping readers not just follow sports, but truly understand them. Whether it’s breaking down a crucial fourth-quarter play, analyzing a blockbuster trade, or exploring the culture around the game, Corey delivers content that informs, entertains, and sparks conversation.

    Corey has attended major sporting events across the world, interviewed professional athletes and coaches, and built a reputation for sharp, unbiased reporting. His goal is to bring fans closer to the action, whether they’re at the stadium, watching from home, or reading along.

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