The NL West rivals clash again at Dodger Stadium as the Padres (69–53, 31–33 away) face the Dodgers (69–53, 39–24 home) in a pivotal game with playoff implications. Both teams are tied in record but trending in different directions — San Diego has surged with strong pitching and timely hitting, while Los Angeles is trying to regain consistency after a rough stretch.
📺 Coverage: MLBN, 4:10 PM ET
Recent Form
Padres (Last 5)
- L 3–2 @ LAD
- W 11–1 @ SF
- W 5–1 @ SF
- W 4–1 @ SF
- W 6–2 vs BOS
➡️ Won 4 of last 5, scoring 28 runs in that span.
Dodgers (Last 5)
- W 3–2 vs SD
- L 6–5 @ LAA
- L 7–6 (10) @ LAA
- L 7–4 @ LAA
- L 5–4 vs TOR
➡️ Finally snapped a 4-game skid with Friday’s narrow win.
Probable Pitchers
| Team | Pitcher | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K | BB | HR | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SD | Yu Darvish (RHP) | 2–3 | 5.61 | 1.22 | 33.2 | 29 | 11 | 4 | Still searching for rhythm after injury; inconsistent but veteran savvy. |
| LAD | Tyler Glasnow (RHP) | 1–1 | 3.08 | 1.12 | 52.2 | 64 | 27 | 8 | Power strikeout arm; can dominate but occasionally wild. |
Glasnow clearly holds the advantage with swing-and-miss stuff, but Darvish’s experience in big spots keeps the matchup intriguing.
Key Players to Watch
San Diego Padres
- Manny Machado (.294, 20 HR, 72 RBI) — heating up at the right time.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. (not listed above but key contributor) — always a game-changer defensively and with speed/power.
- Yu Darvish — must limit HRs against a powerful Dodgers lineup.
Los Angeles Dodgers
- Shohei Ohtani (.282, 43 HR, 80 RBI) — elite power threat, can change a game with one swing.
- Will Smith (.308 AVG, .412 OBP) — consistent on-base presence.
- Tyler Glasnow — strikeouts vs. a patient Padres offense will be key.
Team Stats Snapshot
| Stat | Padres | Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| AVG | .251 | .254 |
| HR | 104 | 181 |
| OBP | .322 | .331 |
| SLG | .383 | .440 |
| ERA | 3.55 | 4.15 |
| WHIP | 1.20 | 1.31 |
| OBA | .226 | .243 |
- Padres: Pitching edge with lower ERA/WHIP, especially preventing hits (.226 OBA).
- Dodgers: Big power advantage (181 HR vs 104).
Betting Outlook
- Moneyline: Dodgers -165 | Padres +135
- Spread: LAD -1.5 (+140), SD +1.5 (-165)
- Total: 8.5 (Over +105 / Under -125)
Trends:
- Padres 28–15 in day games — thrive in early slots.
- Dodgers have been vulnerable recently, losing 4 of last 5 before Friday.
- Total staying under has hit in 3 straight Dodgers games.
Prediction
The Padres have been hotter overall, but Glasnow gives LA the clear pitching edge here. If Darvish can keep the ball in the park, San Diego has a chance, but with Ohtani and Smith leading the charge, the Dodgers’ lineup feels poised to break out.
Final Score: Dodgers 5, Padres 3
(LAD takes the series edge; Under 8.5 cashes.)
