The Phoenix Mercury head north to Climate Pledge Arena on Sunday evening for a Western Conference clash with the Seattle Storm. Phoenix comes in as a narrow 1.5-point road favorite, fueled by the return of key contributors and a recent uptick in offensive consistency. Seattle, meanwhile, has been steady all season, leaning on its veteran backcourt and one of the best defensive frontcourts in the league. With playoff seeding in sight, this matchup carries added importance as both squads look to gain momentum down the stretch.
Position-by-Position Breakdown
Point Guard – Natasha Cloud continues to bring stability and leadership for Phoenix, controlling tempo and distributing the ball effectively. Skylar Diggins-Smith leads the Storm from the point, a savvy veteran with the ability to score or set up teammates in equal measure.
Shooting Guard – Diana Taurasi may not score at her peak levels anymore, but her shooting and basketball IQ remain critical for Phoenix. Jewell Loyd anchors Seattle’s offense, one of the most dangerous scorers in the league who can change a game in a matter of minutes.
Small Forward – Sophie Cunningham provides spacing and toughness for the Mercury, with her ability to stretch defenses from deep. Gabby Williams counters for Seattle as a defensive stopper and secondary playmaker who thrives in transition.
Power Forward – Brianna Turner is Phoenix’s defensive anchor, bringing rebounding and rim protection. Ezi Magbegor serves the same role for Seattle, but with a more dynamic offensive skillset, giving the Storm an advantage at this spot.
Center – Brittney Griner remains the focal point inside for Phoenix, commanding double-teams and finishing efficiently around the rim. Mercedes Russell provides size and toughness for Seattle, though she will have her hands full trying to contain Griner’s scoring and rebounding.
Game Outlook
Seattle’s defense will be tasked with slowing Phoenix’s inside-out attack centered on Griner and Taurasi, while Phoenix must find a way to contain Jewell Loyd without overcommitting and giving Seattle’s secondary scorers open looks. Expect a back-and-forth contest where rebounding and half-court execution will determine the outcome. Seattle’s home-court advantage keeps this game close, but Phoenix’s star power could make the difference late.
Best Bets
- Phoenix Mercury -1.5 – Phoenix’s veteran leadership and scoring versatility give them the edge.
- Under 163.5 Total Points – Both teams defend well in the half-court, which could limit scoring efficiency.
- Jewell Loyd Over Points – Seattle’s offense runs through her, and she will get plenty of shot opportunities.
Final Score Prediction
Phoenix Mercury 81 – Seattle Storm 77
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