The Phoenix Mercury head to Chase Center on Tuesday night to face the Golden State Valkyries in the nightcap of a packed WNBA slate. Phoenix comes in as a 5.5-point road favorite, leaning on the star power of Brittney Griner and Diana Taurasi to lead the way. Golden State has been one of the most competitive expansion teams in league history, showcasing strong guard play and a resilient defense, but they’ll need to play nearly flawless basketball to upset the veteran Mercury.
Position-by-Position Breakdown
Point Guard – Natasha Cloud has been steady for Phoenix, pushing tempo and setting up teammates while also bringing defensive toughness. Jackie Young leads Golden State’s backcourt, giving the Valkyries a high-efficiency scorer who can also distribute effectively.
Shooting Guard – Diana Taurasi continues to be a vital piece for the Mercury, stretching defenses with her outside shot and keeping the floor spaced. Chelsea Gray gives the Valkyries championship pedigree and clutch shot-making, making this a battle of two of the league’s most experienced guards.
Small Forward – Sophie Cunningham provides Phoenix with energy, spacing, and perimeter defense. Allisha Gray brings strength and versatility to Golden State, capable of scoring in transition and guarding multiple positions.
Power Forward – Brianna Turner is Phoenix’s defensive anchor, bringing rebounding and shot-blocking. Emma Cannon provides Golden State toughness and interior scoring, though she’ll need to match Turner’s energy on the boards.
Center – Brittney Griner remains the centerpiece of Phoenix’s frontcourt, controlling the paint on both ends with her size and touch. Teaira McCowan anchors the Valkyries inside, providing a massive presence on the glass and the ability to protect the rim.
Game Outlook
This matchup will come down to whether Golden State’s guard trio can outplay Phoenix’s veteran backcourt. The Mercury will lean heavily on Griner to dominate inside, while Taurasi and Cloud keep the perimeter attack balanced. Golden State will need Jackie Young and Chelsea Gray to set the tone offensively and McCowan to stay out of foul trouble against Griner. If the Valkyries can keep the rebounding battle close and limit turnovers, they have the tools to cover, though Phoenix’s experience makes them the favorite to close strong.
Best Bets
- Phoenix Mercury -5.5 – Phoenix’s veteran leadership and frontcourt edge make them the side to back.
- Under 156.5 Total Points – Both teams are capable defensively, and pace may slow in the half-court.
- Brittney Griner Over Rebounds – Griner should have a strong night on the glass against Golden State’s rotation.
Final Score Prediction
Phoenix Mercury 78 – Golden State Valkyries 71
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