Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills 1/15/23 – NFL Pick & Prediction

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NFL wild card action is set to take place on 1/15/23 and it will feature Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills. The game is set to take place at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, New York. The game starts at 1: PM EST and is set to air on CBS.

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The Dolphins are heading to this game here sitting on a regular season record of 9-8 on the year. When playing on the road the Dolphins ended up posting a record of 3-6. In their last 5 games the Dolphins ended up posting a 1-4 record. In their last game the Dolphins ended up scoring an 11-6 win over the New York Jets.

Dolphins Offense

This season the Dolphins ended up getting a total of 265.4 yards per game in the air. The rushing attack was decent at times for the Dolphins with 99.2 yards per game. Still, this did convert to a total of 23.4 points per game for the Miami Dolphins. Tuna Tagovailoa is the quarterback who has managed to lead Miami on the year going 259/400 for 3,548 yards with 25 touchdowns with 8 picks, but was sacked only 21 times. Raheem Mostert led the Dolphins rushing attack with 891 yards and 3 touchdowns on a total of 181 carries. As a team the Dolphins gained 1,686 yards with 12 touchdowns on a total of 390 carries. The Dolphins used Jason Sanders as the kicker and he went 41/44 for extra points and 26/32 for field goals with a long of 55. In the win effort the Dolphins had Skylar Thompson go 20/31 for 152 yards with no touchdowns and he was sacked once for a loss of 12 yards. When it came to running the Dolphins did good getting 162 yards on 32 carries.

Dolphins Defense

Defensively the Dolphins ended up giving up a total of 23.5 points per game on the year. As a team the Dolphins allowed 234.8 yards per game in the air and when it came to protecting against the run the Dolphins gave up 103 yards per game. The Dolphins were led by Elandon Roberts who recorded 107 tackles. The sack leader for the Dolphins was Jaelan Phillips with 7 sacks for 38 yards lost. The defensive back with the magic hands was Jevon Holland with 2 picks for 64 yards returned. In the win against New York the Dolphins gave up 149 yards in the air and no touchdowns, but did not get a sack or a pick in the game. The rushing defense allowed 38 yards and no scores while facing only 20 carries.

Buffalo is coming to the game here with a 13-3 record on the year overall. When playing at Highmark Stadium the Bills ended up getting a record of 7-1. The Bills did finish the year off on a 5-0 record. The last game for Buffalo ended up being a 35-23 win over the New England Patriots.

Bills Offense

The Bills offense on the year has managed to get 258.1 yards per game in the air while picking up 139.5 yards per game on the ground. This has led to the Bills getting a total of 28.4 points per game. The passing attack for Buffalo has been led by Josh Allen who has went 359/567 for 4,283 yards with 35 touchdowns and 14 picks, but recorded a total of 33 sacks. The rushing offense has been led by Devin Singletary who has carried the ball 177 times for 819 yards with 5 touchdowns. The rushing offense has gained 2,232 yards with 430 carries with 15 touchdowns as a team. Tyler Bass is the kicker for the Jaguars who went 27/31 to the field goals for a long of 56, but ended up going 48/50 from extra points. Jacksonville is coming off of a week that seen them beat the Titans by a score of 20-16. The Bills seen Josh Allen go 19/31 for 254 yards with 3 touchdowns, but was sacked 2 times for a loss of 17 yards. The Bills rushing offense was playing below average with only 90 yards picked up on 25 carries.

Bills Defense

Defensively Bills have allowed a total of 17.9 points per game. The Bills defense allowed only 214.6 yards per game in the air. However, Buffalo ended up giving up 104.6 yards per game on the ground. In the win the Bills ended up giving up a total of 234 yards in the air with 3 touchdowns allowed, but did get 3 pick sand recorded 1 sacks for a loss of 9 yards. The rushing defense gave up 107 yards on 23 carries on the day. Tremaine Edmunds is the leader in the tackles with 102 tackles. The sack leader for the Bills is Von Miller and Greg Rousseau who both recorded 8 sacks Millers’ sacks lost 54 yards and Rousseau lost 61 yards. When it comes to picking off the ball Jordan Poyer recorded a total of 4 picks for only 6 yards.

Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills Odds: Dolphins +13, Bills -13

Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills Money Line: Dolphins +525, Bills -750

Over/Under Odds: 43.5

Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills Pick: Buffalo Bills Money Line, Miami Dolphins +13, Under 43.5

Odds from Betonline.ag 

This one is going to be a mouthful as I really like the Dolphins in this game, but the Bills are just to good of a home team to lose at home against a much weaker Dolphins team. The Dolphins, though, I think will step up their game offensively here and the defense should do enough to keep Josh Allen in check. This will lead to the game going on the under as well as the defenses’ from both teams play well. With that being the case, I see the Bills being the money line winner, the Dolphins covering the 13 point spread, and the total going on the under.

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