Louis Smolka vs Casey Kenney 5/30/2020 – UFC Fight Night Pick & Prediction

The bantamweight fight here is going to feature a couple of fighters that have been around for quite some time, but are coming in with starkly different record. Smolka has ended up getting 6 losses in his career of 22 fights. However, one thing that Kenney has going for him is he has 2 losses and 1 draw out of a total of 16 fights in his career so far.

Louis Smolka is heading into the fight here as a striker, but has shown some good submission moves as well. Smolka has ended up getting a win in his last fight against Ryan MacDonald in September of last year by a KO/TKO result. The win allowed Smolka to improve to 16-6 overall, but he has a 7-0 record in the KO/TKO bouts and when it comes to submission fighting Smolka has a 7-2 record. Smolka is heading into the fight throwing 4.22 significant strikes per minute, but has ended up landing them at a clip of 46.27% on the year so far.

Casey Keney is coming into the bout here after losing in February of this year to Merab Dvalishvili by a unanimous decision. The loss dropped Kenney to a 13-2-1 record but when it comes to his TKO/KO record he is sitting on a 2-0 record and he is 4-0 in the submission battles. Casey Kenney does tend to use the Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu style. Kenney is coming into the fight heavily favored and landing 3.39 significant strikes per minute will help out quite a bit, but with a 40.64% of them landing it can hurt him.

Smolka is heading to the fight with the height advantage that has him standing at 5’9” with 135 pounds. The reach advantage is not held by either fighter as Smolka and Kenney both hold a 68 inch reach. Kenney is coming in at 135 pounds but is  a little bit shorter at 5’7”.

Louis Smolka vs Casey Kenney Odds: Louis Smolka +240, Casey Kenney -280

Round Totals: Over 2.5 -280, Under 2.5 +220

Louis Smolka vs Casey Kenney Prediction: Casey Kenney -280, Over 2.5

Odds Provided By Betonline.ag

The fight here will definitely go to Kenney, who should outlast anything that Smolka is throwing at him. However, the key factor is that the Kenney tends to go to decisions more than going out early. Granted, Kenney can get submissions and a TKO/KO if he is lucky, but those were in under half of his wins and even then they have come later in the bouts. Look for that to continue to be the issue here as the bout lands on the over. With Casey Kenney coming out on top.