The Detroit Tigers head to Target Field on Saturday, August 16, 2025, for a key AL Central battle against the Minnesota Twins. First pitch is set for 7:15 PM ET and will be nationally televised on FOX. With playoff positioning at stake, both teams are looking to seize momentum in the final stretch of the season.
For more expert breakdowns and daily baseball insights, visit our MLB Picks page.
Team Analysis
Detroit Tigers
The Tigers have quietly hung around in the division race thanks to improved pitching and the steady leadership of veterans like Riley Greene and Spencer Torkelson. While the offense can be streaky, Detroit has been able to win close, low-scoring games with quality defense and timely hits. Javy Báez, despite ups and downs at the plate, remains a defensive asset in the middle infield.
Minnesota Twins
Minnesota’s lineup is firing on all cylinders, led by Byron Buxton’s speed-power combo and Carlos Correa’s leadership in the infield. The Twins have also benefited from key contributions from Royce Lewis, who’s been a spark offensively and defensively. Their bullpen depth, anchored by Jhoan Duran, continues to be one of the best in the American League.
Recent Form
- Tigers: 5-5 in their last 10 games, averaging 4.1 runs per game.
- Twins: 6-4 in their last 10 games, averaging 5.4 runs per game.
Pitching Matchup
| Team | Pitcher | Hand | W-L | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigers | Casey Mize | RHP | 8-8 | 4.21 |
| Twins | Zebby Matthews | RHP | 5-3 | 3.72 |
Casey Mize (DET) – The former No. 1 pick has shown flashes of his ace potential, mixing a mid-90s fastball with a sharp splitter. Command has been key — when he limits walks, Mize is tough to square up.
Zebby Matthews (MIN) – A rookie revelation for Minnesota, Matthews has showcased poise beyond his years, relying on excellent control and a deep pitch mix. He’s been particularly sharp in his last few outings.
Key Players to Watch
- DET: Spencer Torkelson – Power bat who can change the game with one swing.
- DET: Riley Greene – Tigers’ most consistent hitter this season.
- MIN: Byron Buxton – Game-changing speed and power.
- MIN: Carlos Correa – Veteran leader with postseason experience.
Prediction
With Matthews in strong form and the Twins’ offense clicking at home, Minnesota holds the upper hand. Detroit will need Mize to deliver a shutdown performance to keep them in the game, but the Twins’ ability to generate runs late could be the deciding factor.
Final Score Prediction: Twins 5, Tigers 3
Best Bets
- Twins -1.5 Run Line – Minnesota’s lineup depth could lead to a late cover.
- Under 9 Runs – Both starters capable of keeping the game in check early.
- Byron Buxton to Steal a Base – Aggressive on the basepaths, especially at home.
