The Connecticut Sun roll into College Park Center on Wednesday night to face the Dallas Wings in a 8:00 PM EDT showdown, airing on NBC Sports Boston and KFAA. Tickets start as low as $13, making it a steal for Arlington fans. The Wings, with a 9-29 record, are 3-point home favorites with an over/under of 166 points, looking to snap a seven-game home skid. The Sun, at 9-28, are coming off a tough 81-79 loss to New York but showed fight with Leila Lacan’s 22 points. With Dallas leading the season series 2-0, this third matchup is a chance for Connecticut to flip the script.
Position-by-Position Breakdown
Point Guard – Saniya Rivers runs the Sun’s offense with 2.8 assists and 8.4 points, bringing defensive intensity but needing to stay efficient. Paige Bueckers, Dallas’ rookie sensation, leads with 19.0 points and 5.2 assists, fresh off a 44-point explosion against L.A.
Shooting Guard – Marina Mabrey provides Connecticut with scoring punch, averaging 14.5 points and dropping 16 against the Liberty. Arike Ogunbowale, questionable with a knee injury, averages 15.5 points for the Wings, but her status could shift Dallas’ game plan.
Small Forward – Bria Hartley gives the Sun energy with 9.1 points, though she’ll need to match Dallas’ athletic wings. DeJonai Carrington brings hustle for the Wings, averaging 7.7 points and 3.6 rebounds, key for her defensive tenacity.
Power Forward – Olivia Nelson-Ododa anchors Connecticut with 8.4 points and 5.1 rebounds, a steady presence in the paint. Maddy Siegrist counters for Dallas with 12.1 points, looking to exploit mismatches with her scoring touch.
Center – Tina Charles leads the Sun with 16.3 points and 6.0 rebounds, a veteran star who’s been consistent. Teaira McCowan holds down the paint for Dallas with 10.0 points and 8.2 rebounds, ready to battle for boards.
Game Outlook
The Wings are struggling, with a 9-29 record and a 10th-ranked defense (81.5 PPG allowed), but their fast pace (fourth in the league) and Bueckers’ scoring keep them dangerous. They’ve beaten the Sun twice this season, 109-87 on May 27 and 86-83 on June 20, with Bueckers averaging 20.5 points in those wins. Connecticut, despite their 9-28 record, has shown flashes, ranking third in steals (8.3 SPG) but last in offense (75.7 PPG). Both teams play fast, setting up a potential shootout, but Dallas’ home edge and Bueckers’ hot hand give them a slight advantage, especially if Ogunbowale plays. The Sun’s defensive grit could keep it close, though.
Best Bets
- Dallas Wings -3 – Dallas’ 2-0 series lead and Bueckers’ scoring make them a solid pick to cover at home, even with their struggles.
- Over 166 Total Points – Both teams’ fast pace and Dallas’ defensive issues suggest a game that could clear the total, as seen in their 196-point May meeting.
- Paige Bueckers Over 20.5 Points – Bueckers’ 44-point outburst and 20.5-point average against Connecticut make her a safe bet to go over.
Final Score Prediction
Dallas Wings 88 – Connecticut Sun 84
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