Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs 1/29/23 – NFL Pick & Prediction




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AFC Conference Championship playoff action is set to take place on 1/29/23 and it will feature Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs. The game is set to take place at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. The game starts at 6:30 PM EST and is set to air on CBS.

The Bengals were able to pull off what many consider to be an upset win. In the Divisional Round the Bengals were able to beat the Bills rather easily by a score of 27-10. On the year the Bengals posted a 6-3 record on the road.

Bengals Offense

As a team the Bengals played great offensively with a total of 26.1 points per game scored. The offense for Cincinnati picked up 378 yards per game, but managed to get 378 yards per game with 282.5 yards per game in the air and 95.5 yards per game on the ground. The offense for Cincinnati in the win over Buffalo Joe Burrow went 23/36 for 242 yards and threw 2 touchdowns, but was sacked 1 time for a loss of 2 yards. When it came to running the ball Joe Mixon carried the ball 20 times for 105 yards and a touchdown. As a team the Bengals picked up 172 yards on 34 carries with a touchdown.

Bengals Defense

Cincinnati is coming in with a total of 13.5 points per game allowed on the year. The Bengals defense allowed 354.5 yards per game total, but managed to give up 245.5 yards per game in the air and 109 yards per game on the ground. Defensively Cincinnati was able to shut down the Bills offense for the most part allowing Josh Allen to go 25/42 for 265 yards, but did get a pick and 1 sack for a loss of 3 yards. The rushing defense was amazing giving up 63 yards and a touchdown while facing only 19 carries.

Kansas City is coming here after getting a win over Jacksonville, but in some instances that is considered to be a narrow victory. The Chiefs won the game by a score of 27-20 over the Jaguars. The Chiefs when playing at Arrowhead Stadium have posted a 7-1 record.

Chiefs Offense

Offensively Kansas City has managed to get a total of 29.2 points per game. The Chiefs have picked up 424.7 yards per game, but have ended up with 308.8 yards per game in the air and 115.9 yards per game on the ground. The Chiefs did have to use 2 quarterbacks in the game as Mahomes was injured. Still, Mahomes went 22/30 for 195 yards and 2 touchdowns, but Chad Henne went 5/7 for 23 yards and a touchdown. The rushing offense was led by Isiah Pacheco who carried the ball 12 times for 95 yards. The Chiefs as a team picked up 144 yards on 30 carries.

Chiefs Defense

On the defensive side of the ball the Chiefs have allowed 20 points per game. The defense for Kansas City has given up 361 yards per game, but allowed 217 yards per game in the air and 144 yards per game on the ground. Defensively the Chiefs allowed Trevor Lawrence to go 24/39 for 217 yards and a touchdown, but did pick up a pick and 2 sacks for a loss of 12 yards. The Chiefs allowed 144 yards and a score on the ground on 19 carries.

Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs Odds: Bengals +1, Chiefs -1

Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs Money Line: Bengals -105, Chiefs -115

Over/Under Odds: 47.5

Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs Pick: Cincinnati Bengals -105, Cincinnati Bengals +1, Under 47.5

Odds from 

This is a rematch of the same championship game from last year. However, this year the results will be very much the same I think. Yes, I think the Bengals with the better offensive showing and a lot of momentum on the year should be able to easily secure a win in this game. Not to mention their will be a lot of issues that are coming in from the questionable health of Mahomes and if his ankle will be able to hold up to the stress of the game. Throw in the fact that Cincinnati has been able to rush the passer recently and it will be difficult to see Mahomes getting comfortable in the pocket. Still, the total should go under as the Chiefs defense should be able to keep Burrow off balance as well with the fact that the Bengals are playing with a patchwork offensive line. Conclusion comes with the fact that I see the Bengals winning on the money line, covering the spread, and the total going on the under.

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