The Boston Red Sox face the New York Yankees in the third game of their four-game series on Saturday, August 23, 2025, at 1:05 PM EDT at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx. With the Red Sox leading the 2025 season series 6-1 after a 6-3 win on August 21, the Yankees are desperate to regain momentum in this heated AL East rivalry. Fans seeking a winning edge can rely on this expert preview, featuring player insights, pitching matchups, and a prediction—unlock more game-changing tips with our exclusive MLB strategies now!
Boston Red Sox
- 2025 Record (as of August 22): 69-59, 3rd in AL East
- Performance Overview: The Red Sox are 5-5 in their last 10 games, with a .233 batting average and a 4.15 ERA. Their offense, averaging 4.5 runs/game, is led by Roman Anthony’s .286 BA and Trevor Story’s 79 RBI, though injuries to players like Wilyer Abreu and Tanner Houck challenge their depth.
- Strengths: Aggressive hitting (.254 BA) and a dominant 6-1 record against the Yankees this season.
- Weaknesses: Pitching staff stretched thin (3.75 ERA) and a 28-34 road record.
- Player to Watch: Roman Anthony (RF) – His .286 BA and recent three-run performance, including a homer on August 21, make him a rising star.
New York Yankees
- 2025 Record (as of August 22): 69-58, 2nd in AL East
- Performance Overview: The Yankees have gone 7-3 in their last 10 games, with a .267 batting average and a 3.56 ERA. Aaron Judge’s 38 HRs and Giancarlo Stanton’s recent hot streak (12-for-25, 5 HRs) power an offense averaging 5.0 runs/game, but injuries to pitchers like Gerrit Cole and Clarke Schmidt strain their rotation.
- Strengths: Power-packed lineup (.331 OBP, 4th in MLB) and a 37-26 home record.
- Weaknesses: Pitching depth issues and struggles against Boston (1-6 in 2025).
- Player to Watch: Giancarlo Stanton (DH) – His .529 BA and 1.560 OPS over the last seven games signal a dangerous power surge.
Head-to-Head Record
- Historical Context: The Red Sox dominate the 2025 season series 6-1, including a 6-3 win on August 21 and a sweep at Fenway in June. The Yankees have won only once against Boston this year.
- Recent Encounter: On August 21, 2025, the Red Sox won 6-3, with Roman Anthony’s two-run homer in the ninth sealing the victory, despite Ben Rice’s solo shot for New York.
- Key Insight: Boston’s ability to exploit New York’s defensive errors (four in the opener) and their strong bullpen give them an edge, but the Yankees’ home power could shift the tide.
Pitching Matchups Table
| Team | Pitcher | Record | ERA | Innings Pitched | Strikeouts | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | Garrett Crochet (LHP) | 13-5 | 2.48 | 152.0 | 188 | 1.05 |
| Yankees | Will Warren (RHP) | 7-5 | 4.34 | 91.1 | 80 | 1.40 |
Strengths and Negatives of Pitchers
- Garrett Crochet (Red Sox)
- Strengths: Elite strikeout rate (11.1 K/9), low 2.48 ERA, and sharp command (1.05 WHIP) make him a tough matchup, especially against New York’s lineup.
- Negatives: Occasional high pitch counts and a rough outing against the Yankees in June (5 ER in 6 IP) show vulnerability to power bats like Judge.
- Will Warren (Yankees)
- Strengths: Decent ground-ball rate (45%) and ability to eat innings (91.1 IP), with a 4.00 ERA at home.
- Negatives: 4.34 ERA and 1.40 WHIP indicate struggles against high-contact lineups like Boston’s, especially after allowing 4 runs to them on June 6.
Key Players to Monitor
- Boston Red Sox:
- Roman Anthony (RF): .286 BA, 3 HRs in last 10 games, a clutch performer with a homer in the series opener.
- Trevor Story (SS): 19 HRs, 79 RBI, hitting .378 with 3 HRs in last 10 games.
- Jarren Duran (CF): .263 BA, 17 HRs, a speed-power threat at the top of the lineup.
- New York Yankees:
- Giancarlo Stanton (DH): 27 HRs, scorching hot with 12-for-25 and 5 HRs in last 10 games.
- Aaron Judge (CF): 38 HRs, 88 RBI, a constant power threat with 2 HRs in last 5 games.
- Cody Bellinger (RF): .272 BA, 2 HRs in last 3 games, adding depth to the lineup.
Recent Performance
- Boston Red Sox: At 69-59, the Red Sox are 5-5 in their last 10, scoring 45 runs while allowing 42, with their bullpen (2.91 ERA in August) providing a key edge.
- New York Yankees: At 69-58, the Yankees are 7-3 in their last 10, outscoring opponents 50-35, driven by a red-hot offense.
Critical Factors
- Venue: Yankee Stadium’s hitter-friendly dimensions (4.15 park ERA) favor the Yankees’ power bats but also Boston’s high-contact lineup.
- Weather: Forecasted at 80°F with mostly clear skies and a light breeze, ideal for a high-scoring game.
- Momentum: The Yankees’ 7-3 surge clashes with Boston’s 6-1 series dominance, creating a pivotal matchup.
- Betting Odds: Yankees favored at -134, with over/under at 8.0, reflecting a slight home edge and run potential.
Prediction
The Boston Red Sox have the edge in this matchup, thanks to Garrett Crochet’s elite 2.48 ERA and strikeout prowess against a Yankees lineup that struggles against him. While New York’s power bats, led by Stanton and Judge, could exploit Yankee Stadium’s short porch, Warren’s 4.34 ERA and prior struggles against Boston (4 ER in 5.1 IP) tip the scales. The Red Sox’s bullpen strength and Anthony’s hot bat should secure a narrow victory.
Final Prediction: Boston Red Sox win, 5-3. Anthony drives in a key run, and Crochet stifles New York’s offense.
Best Bets
- Moneyline: Boston Red Sox (+114) – Crochet’s dominance and Boston’s series edge make them a value pick.
- Under 8.0 Runs – Crochet’s low ERA and Boston’s strong bullpen suggest a lower-scoring game despite hitter-friendly conditions.
- Roman Anthony to Record an RBI (+180) – His recent clutch performance and .286 BA offer strong value against Warren.
This preview, based on the latest trends and stats as of August 22, 2025, delivers expert, trustworthy, and engaging content for MLB fans. Watch live on YES Network.
