The Las Vegas Aces welcome the Atlanta Dream to Michelob Ultra Arena on Tuesday night in a nationally televised NBA TV matchup. The Aces enter as 1.5-point home favorites, a surprisingly tight line given their championship pedigree and dominance at home. Atlanta brings athleticism and energy but has struggled to consistently execute in half-court sets against elite competition. This game could be decided by which team controls tempo—Vegas thrives in transition and early offense, while Atlanta must rely on defensive stops and opportunistic scoring to keep pace.
Position-by-Position Breakdown
Point Guard – Chelsea Gray leads Las Vegas with her poise and playmaking, one of the league’s best floor generals in crunch-time moments. Rhyne Howard, though more of a wing, often serves as Atlanta’s primary initiator, creating mismatches with her size and versatility.
Shooting Guard – Kelsey Plum provides instant offense for the Aces, with her ability to score in bunches from beyond the arc and in transition. Allisha Gray counters for Atlanta, combining perimeter scoring with defensive toughness to keep Plum in check.
Small Forward – Jackie Young is one of the most efficient two-way players in the WNBA, capable of impacting the game without dominating the ball. Haley Jones brings versatility for Atlanta, offering rebounding and secondary playmaking but will have to contend with Young’s physicality.
Power Forward – A’ja Wilson is the focal point of the Aces, a perennial MVP candidate who dominates both ends of the floor. Naz Hillmon brings energy and rebounding for Atlanta but will have her hands full trying to contain Wilson’s all-around game.
Center – Kiah Stokes anchors the Aces inside, focusing on defense and rebounding. Cheyenne Parker gives Atlanta a reliable post scorer and rebounder, though she will need to stay out of foul trouble against Vegas’s interior presence.
Game Outlook
The Dream’s best chance to pull an upset will be pushing pace and generating transition looks off turnovers. However, Las Vegas’s ability to execute in the half-court with Wilson inside and Plum and Young attacking from the perimeter makes them extremely difficult to beat at home. Unless Atlanta can dominate the boards and get big nights from Howard and Parker, the Aces should have the advantage late.
Best Bets
- Las Vegas Aces -1.5 – The Aces’ championship experience and depth make them the safer side.
- Over 164.5 Total Points – Both teams have multiple scoring options, and pace could be faster than expected.
- A’ja Wilson Over Points – Wilson’s matchup against Atlanta’s frontcourt gives her a strong edge.
Final Score Prediction
Las Vegas Aces 89 – Atlanta Dream 83
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