Overview
The Boston Red Sox face the New York Yankees in the final game of their four-game series on Sunday, August 24, 2025, at 7:00 PM EDT at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, New York. The Red Sox lead the series 3-0 after a 6-3 win on Thursday, a 1-0 win on Friday, and a 12-1 rout on Saturday, powered by Garrett Crochet’s 11 strikeouts and Trevor Story’s homer. This AL East rivalry game is crucial for the Red Sox to complete a sweep and solidify their wild card position, while the Yankees aim to avoid a four-game skid at home. Fans seeking a winning edge can rely on this expert preview, featuring player insights, pitching matchups, and a prediction—unlock more game-changing tips with our exclusive MLB strategies now!
Team Analysis
Boston Red Sox
- 2025 Record (as of August 23): 71-59, 2nd in AL East
- Performance Overview: The Red Sox are 6-4 in their last 10 games, averaging 4.8 runs/game with a .238 batting average and a 3.37 ERA. Trevor Story’s 20 HRs and Alex Bregman’s .299 BA lead the offense, though injuries to Wilyer Abreu (calf), Tanner Houck (flexor), and Marcelo Mayer (wrist) test their depth.
- Strengths: Strong offense (.252 BA, 4th in AL) and a 7-1 season series lead over the Yankees.
- Weaknesses: Inconsistent road record (29-34) and a 3-5 record when allowing 2+ HRs.
- Player to Watch: Trevor Story (SS) – His .232 BA, 20 HRs, 41 RBI, and homer with 3 RBI in Saturday’s win make him a clutch performer.
New York Yankees
- 2025 Record (as of August 23): 69-60, 3rd in AL East
- Performance Overview: The Yankees are 6-4 in their last 10 games, averaging 4.8 runs/game with a .264 batting average and a 3.07 ERA. Aaron Judge’s .361 BA and 28 HRs drive the offense, but injuries to Gerrit Cole (elbow), Oswaldo Cabrera (ankle), and Clarke Schmidt (forearm) weaken their roster.
- Strengths: Elite on-base percentage (.330, 4th in MLB) and a 37-27 home record.
- Weaknesses: Struggling bullpen (4.50 ERA in last 5 games) and an 0-3 series deficit.
- Player to Watch: Aaron Judge (CF) – His .361 BA, 28 HRs, 63 RBI, and .218 BA since returning from injury make him a critical power threat.
Head-to-Head Record
- Historical Context: The Red Sox lead the 2025 season series 8-1, including wins of 6-3, 1-0, and 12-1 in this series. The Yankees’ lone win came on June 6 (7-5).
- Recent Encounter: On August 23, the Red Sox won 12-1, with Crochet’s 11 Ks, Story’s homer, and Carlos Narváez’s homer overwhelming Will Warren’s 6 ER.
- Key Insight: The Red Sox’s pitching and timely hitting have dominated this series, but the Yankees’ power bats could spark a comeback at home.
Pitching Matchups Table
| Team | Pitcher | Record | ERA | Innings Pitched | Strikeouts | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Sox | Dustin May (RHP) | 7-9 | 4.59 | 137.2 | 132 | 1.35 |
| Yankees | Carlos Rodón (LHP) | 13-7 | 3.24 | 144.2 | 119 | 1.22 |
Strengths and Negatives of Pitchers
- Dustin May (Red Sox):
- Strengths: Decent strikeout ability (8.6 K/9) and a 3.00 ERA in his last 3 starts, with a sinking fastball that induces groundballs. He’s allowed 2 ER or fewer in 4 of his last 6 starts.
- Negatives: Inconsistent season (4.59 ERA) and struggles vs. lefties (.280 BA allowed) could be targeted by Judge and Cody Bellinger.
- Carlos Rodón (Yankees):
- Strengths: Strong 3.24 ERA, 7.4 K/9, and a 2.92 ERA at home, with 15 quality starts in 24 outings. He’s 2-1 with a 3.86 ERA vs. the Red Sox this season.
- Negatives: Recent struggles (4.50 ERA in last 2 starts) could be exploited by Story and Bregman’s hot bats.
Key Players to Monitor
- Boston Red Sox:
- Trevor Story (SS): .232 BA, 20 HRs, homer and 3 RBI in Saturday’s win.
- Alex Bregman (3B): .299 BA, 11 HRs, hitting .310 with 2 doubles in last 5 games.
- Roman Anthony (CF): .114 BA, 3 HRs, 3-for-4 with an RBI in Saturday’s win.
- New York Yankees:
- Aaron Judge (CF): .361 BA, 28 HRs, 1-for-4 with a double in Saturday’s loss.
- Cody Bellinger (1B): .260 BA, 10 HRs, hitting .286 in last 7 games.
- Trent Grisham (LF): .251 BA, 15 HRs, 2-for-7 in the series with a homer.
Recent Performance
- Boston Red Sox: At 71-59, the Red Sox are 6-4 in their last 10, scoring 48 runs while allowing 35, with their pitching and offense clicking in this series.
- New York Yankees: At 69-60, the Yankees are 6-4 in their last 10, scoring 48 runs and allowing 38, but their pitching has struggled in this series.
Critical Factors
- Venue: Yankee Stadium’s hitter-friendly dimensions (4.20 park ERA) favor both teams’ power bats, especially Story and Judge.
- Weather: Forecasted at 82°F with partly cloudy skies and a light breeze, ideal for a high-scoring game.
- Momentum: The Red Sox’s 3-0 series lead and 8-1 season edge contrast with the Yankees’ three-game skid and bullpen woes.
- Betting Odds: Red Sox favored at -120, with over/under at 8.5, reflecting their series dominance and offensive potential.
Prediction
The Boston Red Sox hold a slight edge in this matchup, driven by their series-long dominance and Dustin May’s recent consistency (3.00 ERA in last 3 starts), despite Carlos Rodón’s 3.24 ERA and home strength. The Yankees’ power bats, led by Judge and Bellinger, could exploit May’s struggles against lefties, but the Red Sox’s hot offense, sparked by Story and Bregman, should capitalize on Rodón’s recent inconsistencies. Boston’s bullpen will likely secure the sweep.
Final Prediction: Boston Red Sox win, 6-4. Story drives in 2 runs, and May pitches six solid innings.
Best Bets
- Moneyline: Boston Red Sox (-120) – Their series dominance and offensive surge make them a strong pick.
- Over 8.5 Runs – Yankee Stadium’s hitter-friendly setup and Rodón’s recent struggles suggest a high-scoring game.
- Trevor Story to Record an RBI (+130) – His 20 HRs and Saturday’s clutch performance offer strong value against Rodón.
This preview, based on the latest trends and stats as of August 23, 2025, delivers expert, trustworthy, and engaging content for MLB fans. Watch live on ESPN, YES, or NESN.
