The New York Mets face the Atlanta Braves in the final game of their three-game series on Sunday, August 24, 2025, at 1:35 PM EDT at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. With the Mets taking the first two games 12-7 and 9-4, they aim for a sweep against a Braves team looking to salvage a win in this NL East rivalry. Fans seeking a winning edge can rely on this expert preview, featuring player insights, pitching matchups, and a prediction—unlock more game-changing tips with our exclusive MLB strategies now!
New York Mets
- 2025 Record (as of August 23): 69-60, 2nd in NL East
- Performance Overview: The Mets are 6-4 in their last 10 games, averaging 5.2 runs/game with a .322 batting average and a 5.50 ERA. Francisco Lindor’s .265 BA and Juan Soto’s 32 HRs lead the offense, though injuries to Francisco Alvarez (thumb) and Brandon Nimmo (neck, day-to-day) test their depth.
- Strengths: Potent offense (164 HRs, 8th in MLB) and a 32-14 record when hitting 2+ HRs.
- Weaknesses: Pitching inconsistencies (4.50 ERA on the road) and a 28-36 road record.
- Player to Watch: Francisco Lindor (SS) – His .265 BA, 25 HRs, and 5-for-9 with 2 HRs in this series make him a clutch performer.
Atlanta Braves
- 2025 Record (as of August 23): 58-71, 4th in NL East
- Performance Overview: The Braves are 6-4 in their last 10 games, averaging 4.8 runs/game with a .275 batting average and a 6.20 ERA. Matt Olson’s .268 BA and Marcell Ozuna’s 20 HRs drive the offense, but injuries to Ronald Acuna (calf) and Austin Riley (abdominal) hurt their lineup.
- Strengths: Power hitting (144 HRs, 6th in NL) and a 32-33 home record.
- Weaknesses: Struggling pitching (6.20 ERA in last 10) and a 7-4 deficit in the season series vs. the Mets.
- Player to Watch: Matt Olson (1B) – His .268 BA, 19 HRs, and 3-for-8 with a homer in this series make him a key power threat.
Head-to-Head Record
- Historical Context: The Mets lead the 2025 season series 8-4, including wins of 12-7 and 9-4 in this series. The Braves won 4-3 on August 14 at Citi Field.
- Recent Encounter: On August 23, the Mets won 9-4, with Brett Baty’s 4 hits and Clay Holmes outpitching Cal Quantrill.
- Key Insight: The Mets’ power bats have overwhelmed Atlanta’s pitching in this series, but the Braves’ home-field power could spark a comeback.
Pitching Matchups Table
| Team | Pitcher | Record | ERA | Innings Pitched | Strikeouts | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | David Peterson (LHP) | 7-5 | 2.98 | 126.2 | 112 | 1.26 |
| Braves | Bryce Elder (RHP) | 5-9 | 6.12 | 103.0 | 85 | 1.45 |
Strengths and Negatives of Pitchers
- David Peterson (Mets)
- Strengths: Strong 2.98 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, and a 2.80 ERA on the road, with a sinker-slider combo that limits hard contact.
- Negatives: Struggled vs. Atlanta earlier (4 ER in 4 IP on August 13), vulnerable to power hitters like Olson and Ozuna.
- Bryce Elder (Braves)
- Strengths: Decent at home (5.50 ERA), with a sinker that induces groundballs, effective when keeping counts low.
- Negatives: High 6.12 ERA and 1.45 WHIP, with 5 ER in 4 IP vs. the Mets on August 14, could be exploited by Lindor and Soto.
Key Players to Monitor
- New York Mets:
- Francisco Lindor (SS): .265 BA, 25 HRs, 8 RBI in last 10 games, red-hot with 5-for-9 in this series.
- Juan Soto (RF): 32 HRs, .500 SLG, hitting .310 in last 7 games with a homer in the series.
- Brett Baty (3B): .260 BA, 4-for-5 with 2 RBI in Saturday’s win.
- Atlanta Braves:
- Matt Olson (1B): .268 BA, 19 HRs, 3-for-8 with a homer in this series.
- Marcell Ozuna (DH): 20 HRs, 60 RBI, .238 BA, hitting .280 in last 10 games.
- Michael Harris II (CF): .260 BA, 4 HRs, hot with 3-for-8 in the series.
Recent Performance
- New York Mets: At 69-60, the Mets are 6-4 in their last 10, scoring 52 runs while allowing 49, with their offense dominating this series.
- Atlanta Braves: At 58-71, the Braves are 6-4 in their last 10, scoring 48 runs and allowing 54, but their pitching has faltered in this series.
Critical Factors
- Venue: Truist Park’s hitter-friendly dimensions (4.15 park ERA) favor the Mets’ power bats, especially Lindor and Soto.
- Weather: Forecasted at 82°F with partly cloudy skies and a light breeze, ideal for a high-scoring game.
- Momentum: The Mets’ series dominance and 8-4 season edge contrast with the Braves’ home power and desperation to avoid a sweep.
- Betting Odds: Mets favored at -135, with over/under at 8.5, reflecting their offensive surge and Elder’s struggles.
Prediction
The New York Mets hold a clear edge in this matchup, driven by David Peterson’s 2.98 ERA and the team’s red-hot offense against Bryce Elder’s 6.12 ERA. The Braves’ power bats, led by Olson and Ozuna, could exploit Peterson’s prior struggles, but the Mets’ momentum and Lindor’s clutch hitting should secure the sweep. New York’s bullpen will likely shut down any late Atlanta rally.
Final Prediction: New York Mets win, 7-3. Lindor hits a homer, and Peterson pitches six strong innings.
Best Bets
- Moneyline: New York Mets (-135) – Peterson’s reliability and the Mets’ offensive surge make them a strong pick.
- Over 8.5 Runs – Truist Park’s hitter-friendly setup and Elder’s high ERA suggest a high-scoring game.
- Francisco Lindor to Record an RBI (+130) – His hot streak and 5-for-9 series performance offer strong value against Elder.
This preview, based on the latest trends and stats as of August 23, 2025, delivers expert, trustworthy, and engaging content for MLB fans. Watch live on MLBN, SNY, or BSSO.
