Patriots vs Giants Preseason Week 3 Preview and Picks 2025

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Folks, we’re settin’ the stage for a classic preseason showdown, the kind that gets your blood pumpin’ like a fourth-and-goal stand! It’s the New England Patriots rollin’ into MetLife Stadium to face the New York Giants on Thursday night, August 21, 2025, kickin’ off at 8:00 p.m. ET. Both teams are sittin’ pretty at 2-0 in the preseason, and while the scoreboard don’t mean much in August, this one’s about those roster hopefuls fightin’ for their NFL dreams. Boom! That’s the juice of the preseason finale – guys layin’ it all on the line. The Pats are comin’ off a 48-18 rout of the Commanders and a 20-12 win over the Vikings, while the Giants have been slingin’ it, beatin’ the Bills 34-25 and the Jets 31-12.

Patriots’ Side: Depth and Discipline

The Patriots are lookin’ like a well-oiled machine under Mike Vrabel, and let me tell ya, this team’s got that old-school New England grit. That 48-18 thrashin’ of Washington in Week 1 showed an offense firin’ on all cylinders, with rookie RB TreVeyon Henderson punchin’ in a touchdown. Last week’s 20-12 win over Minnesota was tighter, but QB Josh Dobbs was sharp, goin’ 11-for-16 with 106 yards and a score. Drake Maye’s locked in as the Week 1 starter, so expect him to take a quick cameo before handin’ it off to Dobbs and Ben Wooldridge to run the show.

What’s got me excited is the wideout battle. Undrafted rookie Efton Chism III’s been a camp steal, haulin’ in six catches for 71 yards and a touchdown against the Vikings, but he’s questionable with a minor injury. If he plays, he’s gotta prove he’s roster-ready. The O-line’s another spot to watch – injuries to guys like David Andrews (hamstring) mean backups like Ben Brown and Jared Wilson are gettin’ big reps to lock down depth spots. Defensively, the Pats have been stout, especially in the red zone after a shaky opener. No major injuries reported, but with Jabrill Peppers and Kyle Dugger likely sittin’, young DBs like Craig Woodson and Jordan Polk are fightin’ for spots with special teams plays. Vrabel’s got this squad disciplined, and their special teams could be a game-changer – a blocked punt or big return ain’t out of the question.

Giants’ Perspective: Fireworks in the QB Room

Over in New York, Brian Daboll’s got a quarterback room deeper than a Montana sky! Russell Wilson’s the starter, Jameis Winston’s the veteran backup, and rookie Jaxson Dart’s turnin’ heads, completin’ 74% of his passes for 291 yards and three total TDs in two games. Tommy DeVito’s scrappin’ for a roster spot too, so expect a QB carousel tonight as they sort out the peckin’ order. The Giants’ offense has been electric, averagin’ 32.5 points per game in the preseason, with that 34-25 win over Buffalo showin’ a pass rush that rattled the Bills’ O-line without Dexter Lawrence even playin’. Week 2’s 31-12 smackdown of the Jets had Dart and company slicin’ through the secondary.

The defense is where it gets spicy. Kayvon Thibodeaux, Brian Burns, and rookie Abdul Carter have been bringin’ heat, holdin’ opponents to 33 points combined in two games. But with starters likely restin’, guys like Beaux Collins at WR and Dante Miller at RB are fightin’ for roster spots. The cornerback battle’s hot too – Cor’Dale Flott and Deonte Banks are dukin’ it out for CB2, and a big play could seal it. Special teams is another X-factor; the Giants’ return game’s been solid, and Daboll’s watchin’ closely to see who steps up. Playin’ at home in MetLife with a national TV audience on Prime Video gives ‘em a little extra juice, but they’re desperate to keep that 2-0 vibe goin’ to avoid any stumbles before the regular season.

Key Matchups and Game-Changing Factors

Here’s where it gets real, folks! The Giants’ pass rush versus the Patriots’ backup O-line is gonna be a war in the trenches. New England’s missin’ key linemen, and if Thibodeaux or Carter get loose, it could spell trouble for Dobbs and Wooldridge. On the flip side, the Pats’ defense – even without Peppers – has been lockin’ down the red zone. If they force a turnover or two from Dart or DeVito, it could swing the game. Special teams could be the difference-maker; both squads have hungry rookies lookin’ to make a name on returns or coverage.

Weather in East Rutherford should be clear, maybe a touch humid, but nothin’ to disrupt the flow. The crowd might be quieter than a regular-season game, but those MetLife faithful can still bring some noise for the home team. With cutdown day loomin’ on August 26, every snap’s an audition – expect some penalties from overeager backups but also some highlight-reel moments from guys like Chism or Collins. The Patriots’ discipline gives ‘em a slight edge, but the Giants’ offensive firepower and home-field energy make this a toss-up.

Final Prediction

Alright, let’s call it like we see it: The Giants’ QB depth and pass rush give ‘em a slight edge at home, but the Pats’ discipline keeps it close. I’m goin’ with New York to squeak out a 27-24 win, but New England covers the spread in a tight one.

3 Best Bets

  1. Giants Moneyline (-280): New York’s 2-0 with a high-octane offense and home-field advantage. They’re the safer bet to keep the streak alive.
  2. Over 38 Total Points (-110): Both teams are averagin’ over 30 points per game in the preseason. With backup QBs slingin’ it, this could hit the over.
  3. Patriots +6.5 (-110): Vrabel’s crew is too disciplined to get blown out. They keep it within a touchdown, even on the road.

For more NFL picks and previews, check out Sports Game Picks NFL Predictions.

Author

  • Corey Clarkson is a seasoned sports journalist and analyst with a passion for telling the stories behind the stats. With years of experience covering everything from the NFL playoffs to the World Cup, Corey’s insight bridges hard data with the human side of sports. His work dives deep into game strategy, player performance, and league trends—helping readers not just follow sports, but truly understand them. Whether it’s breaking down a crucial fourth-quarter play, analyzing a blockbuster trade, or exploring the culture around the game, Corey delivers content that informs, entertains, and sparks conversation.

    Corey has attended major sporting events across the world, interviewed professional athletes and coaches, and built a reputation for sharp, unbiased reporting. His goal is to bring fans closer to the action, whether they’re at the stadium, watching from home, or reading along.

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