The Dallas Wings head to Michelob Ultra Arena on Sunday afternoon to face the Las Vegas Aces in one of the marquee matchups of the day. Las Vegas enters as a heavy 10.5-point home favorite, and for good reason—they’ve been dominant on both ends of the floor and continue to look every bit like a championship contender. Dallas, meanwhile, has shown flashes of competitiveness but has struggled to put together consistent performances against elite teams. To pull off the upset, the Wings will need their star backcourt to be at its absolute best and their frontcourt to hold its ground against A’ja Wilson and company.
Position-by-Position Breakdown
Point Guard – Paige Bueckers continues to grow into her role for Dallas, combining shot creation with court vision to lead the offense. Chelsea Gray runs the show for the Aces, thriving in big moments and controlling tempo with her elite decision-making.
Shooting Guard – Arike Ogunbowale remains Dallas’s most reliable scorer, capable of exploding for 25+ points against any defense. Kelsey Plum gives Las Vegas a dynamic counterpart, a relentless scorer who thrives in transition and off the ball.
Small Forward – Jacy Sheldon’s defensive hustle and perimeter shooting provide support for Dallas, though she’ll be tasked with slowing Jackie Young, one of the most efficient and versatile wings in the league.
Power Forward – Luisa Geiselsöder and Li Yueru will try to handle the frontcourt load for Dallas, but they face the monumental challenge of slowing A’ja Wilson, a perennial MVP candidate who dominates both ends of the floor.
Center – Teaira McCowan anchors Dallas inside with rebounding and rim protection. Kiah Stokes will handle the defensive work for the Aces, complementing Wilson while providing physicality and toughness in the paint.
Game Outlook
Las Vegas has the advantage at nearly every position, with a deep roster and proven stars who thrive in high-pressure games. Dallas will need Ogunbowale and Bueckers to play near-perfect basketball while also limiting turnovers and controlling the glass. For the Aces, the formula remains simple: feed Wilson inside, let Plum and Young attack the perimeter, and rely on Gray to manage crunch-time possessions. If they execute as expected, Las Vegas should control this game from start to finish.
Best Bets
- Las Vegas Aces -10.5 – The Aces’ depth and dominance at home make them the clear play.
- Over 169.5 Total Points – Both teams feature high-volume scorers, and pace should be quick.
- A’ja Wilson Over Points – Wilson’s matchup against Dallas’s frontcourt projects to be highly favorable.
Final Score Prediction
Las Vegas Aces 95 – Dallas Wings 81
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