Matt Brown vs Miguel Baeza – 5/16/20 UFC Fight Night Pick & Prediction

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Matt Brown vs Miguel Baeza – 5/16/20 UFC Fight Night Pick & Prediction

UFCThe Welterweight fight here is going to feature Matt Brown taking on Miguel Baeza. Brown is coming into the fight with a decent record for someone who has been in 40 fights. The downside is is Brown just loses a few more fights it would have led to him sitting at the five hundred mark. For his part Miguel Baeza is going to come into the fight as one of the upcomers in the ring and definitely will have a strong record and chance of winning the fight here.

Brown is heading into the fight here with an orthodox stance and with a normal striker style. The last fight for Brown was a win by a KO/TKO over Ben Saunders. The win allowed Brown to improve to 24-16, but has a 15-2 TKO/KO record and in submission is 7-10. When it comes to significant blows at a rate of 3.75 per minute, but his accuracy for those punches is only sitting at 54.26%.

Baeza is heading into the fight as a striker as well and uses the orthodox stance as well. The last fight that Miguel was involved in was a KO/TKO win over Hector Aldana. With the win he improved his career record to 8-0 and 6-0 when it comes to the KO/TKO margin. Baeza has a large number of significant punches at 4.26 per minute and his accuracy is sitting at 58.54% in his fights.

The tape is coming out with Brown standing at 6’0” and weighing a total of 170 pounds. Brown does have a 70 inch reach and that could definitely help him out quite a bit. For Baeza he is coming in standing at 6’2” and 170 pounds as well. Baeza does have a significant advantage when it comes to reach at 74.5 inches.

Matt Brown vs Miguel Baeza Prediction – Miguel Baeza -185

Brown is coming in after improving to get a win in his last fight. However, Brown does not land his blows as often nor does he do as good of a job of throwing as many as Baeza. Look for Baeza to build off of his recent successes and that will lead to him getting more confident as the fight goes on here and that allows him to bring home the win.

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  • Corey Clarkson is a seasoned sports journalist and analyst with a passion for telling the stories behind the stats. With years of experience covering everything from the NFL playoffs to the World Cup, Corey’s insight bridges hard data with the human side of sports. His work dives deep into game strategy, player performance, and league trends—helping readers not just follow sports, but truly understand them. Whether it’s breaking down a crucial fourth-quarter play, analyzing a blockbuster trade, or exploring the culture around the game, Corey delivers content that informs, entertains, and sparks conversation.

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